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Money for jumps

Despite some pretty uninspiring fare @ Plumpton today I am having a bet in the first.

Too big at 10/1, Land Girl's Luck was in good form over the summer including a well ran 5th from 12 in a class 4 when last attempting 3m.
Back down to 100 she is unexposed in a field of known quantities and deserves more respect than priced.
 
NH_Andy said:
Despite some pretty uninspiring fare @ Plumpton today I am having a bet in the first.

Too big at 10/1, Land Girl's Luck was in good form over the summer including a well ran 5th from 12 in a class 4 when last attempting 3m.
Back down to 100 she is unexposed in a field of known quantities and deserves more respect than priced.
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You keep hitting the crossbar.
Unlucky there.
 
Terrific ride from ex-Point jockey Jamie Gambin on the winner who judged it well from the front.

Unlucky to get the fav beat and get done in that manner.
 
Yeah unlucky again Andy nothing worse than a string of big priced 2nds. I had a spell like that a couple of months ago, fine lines between flying and falling.
 
3 runners up out of 6 including 8/1 & 10/1 .
Returns the princely sum of f%*& all but keeps me coming back.

Nothing at Warwick today but some of tomorrow's forecasted prices have me shooting my arm up like the overeager nerd on the first day of school. Let's hope they materialise into betting opportunities.

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The second race at Perth tomorrow, the 3.08, looks very interesting and the one i am looking at is far shorter on my tissue than the forecast price on ATR. If the guessers go the same price (or thereabouts) as the forecast i may just have a few shekels on.

Fourofakind won this race last year off the same mark as tomorrow and wears a visor for the first time. He cannot be ruled out.
I Wish You won first time up last year after a similar break and will go well.
It looks a fairly competitive race with plenty with chances so i will just wait and see what the guessers come up with on my pick before deciding whether to join in.

Good luck with whatever you fancy.
 
Quixall Crossett said:
The second race at Perth tomorrow, the 3.08, looks very interesting and the one i am looking at is far shorter on my tissue than the forecast price on ATR. If the guessers go the same price (or thereabouts) as the forecast i may just have a few shekels on.

Fourofakind won this race last year off the same mark as tomorrow and wears a visor for the first time. He cannot be ruled out.
I Wish You won first time up last year after a similar break and will go well.
It looks a fairly competitive race with plenty with chances so i will just wait and see what the guessers come up with on my pick before deciding whether to join in.

Good luck with whatever you fancy.
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The price that got me excited was in this very race. It's a bit more rational now but still value. Hopefully we like the same horse! I'll post in the morning.
 
NH_Andy said:
Bel Amigo 11/1 in the 2nd @ Perth
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I thought Well Educated would go well. Down in grade after six runs in either class 3 or class 2 company and he's also 14lb lower than he was at this time last year.
I put him in at 10's which is where he is at now. But the clueless guessers opened 20's in a place with the majority of them 16's or 18's.
And speaking of 18's, who on earth prices horses up at 18/1. I can honestly say that in all my time pricing up the days racing or the Pricewise races or ante post etc etc, i never went 18/1 about a horse. It was either 16's or 20's. And i never went 9/1 about anything. It was either 8's or 10's. And you know where you can stick your 22/1.
I know its the bots these days just clicking thru their programme but many times over they just look ridiculous. The 18/1 may possibly be a bot set to one tick under the top price.
I actually saw a 19/2 on the price grid earlier. WTF !!!!!!! So much for modern technology.
If ever i get one of those chat bots on a business site i am using (bank etc) i just type in human input required and i get someone on the other end.
Human input is DEFINITELY required on those betting sites.
 
An Elastic Ten to Follow for the 2025/2026 NH Season.
I did most of the work for this in August and I've used the word " Elastic " as it has stretched beyond ten horses. The easier way to do it would be to pick Inothewayurthinkin, The New Lion, and maybe Marine Nationale, and then complete the list with horses trained by Willie Mullins - either last season's Grade 1 winners or new recruits from France or Irish point-to-points. I've gone instead for mainly medium-rated handicappers with a few exceptions.

1. Antrim Coast (124 ). 2nd of 20 at the Galway Festival. Recently switched from Gavin Cromwell to Henry De Bromhead. Declared to run in the 4:30 at Listowel on Saturday.
2. Aworkinprogress (121) ( Nick Gifford for JP McManus ). A Southern / Surrey / Sussex National type of horse.
3. Gameofinches ( Willie Mullins for Caroline Tisdall ) Ran in the Champion Bumper and could go chasing.
4. Jesuila Des Mottes ( 115 ) ( Emma Lavelle, in the same colours as My Silver Lining ). Won a three mile handicap hurdle off 105 at Taunton in January, but unraced since.
5. Jurancon ( 132) ( David Pipe ) Not highly tried yet over hurdles.
6. Matata ( 160 ) ( Nigel and Willy Twiston-Davies ) Should be useful in Grade 2 two mile chases.
7. Riskintheground ( 139) ( Dan Skelton) Entered, but not declared to run, at Market Rasen on Saturday
8. Smugglers Haven ( 115) ( Sara Bradstock ). 2nd at Warwick on 23 September. Doesn't like soft ground so maybe only one more run before next spring.
9. Snipe (124) ( Dan Skelton ). Looked sure to pick up a long distance chase after finishing behind Val Dancer at Carlisle over three and a quarter miles last autumn. Finished well from too far back in the Great Yorkshire Chase, and has already had a pipe-opener at Worcester last week over the wrong trip. Snipe is in the same category as Oliver Show and Pocklington on the Flat for me in that he's certain to win a big race, and hasn't.
10. Spanish Harlem ( Willie Mullins). Rating will soon be high enough to get a run in the 2026 Grand National. Not supposed to like really soft ground.
11. Tanganyika (140) ( Venetia Williams ) 2nd to Mr Vango in the Midlands National in March. It is about time for Venetia Williams to win the Welsh National again.
12. Victtorino ( 147 ) ( Venetia Williams ) Surprisingly still rated below 150 after several three mile handicap chase wins at Ascot in the last two seasons. More likely to win again there than at Cheltenham.

On the sub's bench - Sole Solution (119 ) ( Venetia Williams again ). Trainer is quite fond of putting her horses straight into novice handicap chases off their hurdle rating, and then gradually stepping them up in trip.
 
The 4:55 at Chepstow this afternoon is the David Pipe Racing Handicap Hurdle over two and a half miles with seventeen runners. Mr Pipe runs two in it, and I would hope that the race title might encourage at least one good run between them. The two are Activist (14/1) - off since March, but two wins last season - and Old Bridge (40/1) - pulled-up in the valuable novice handicap at Worcester on its last run, but ridden here by Rian Corcoran who claims ten pounds. Horse and jockey both await their first win.
 
Jayhawk said:
The 4:55 at Chepstow this afternoon is the David Pipe Racing Handicap Hurdle over two and a half miles with seventeen runners. Mr Pipe runs two in it, and I would hope that the race title might encourage at least one good run between them. The two are Activist (14/1) - off since March, but two wins last season - and Old Bridge (40/1) - pulled-up in the valuable novice handicap at Worcester on its last run, but ridden here by Rian Corcoran who claims ten pounds. Horse and jockey both await their first win.
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Activist was a winner for me on more than one occasion last season but there are too many unexposed types in this race for me to get involved. Le Milos was a NR earlier and Lady Jago ran a great race and jumped beautifully but didn't have anything left in the closing stages.
 
NH_Andy said:
Activist was a winner for me on more than one occasion last season but there are too many unexposed types in this race for me to get involved. Le Milos was a NR earlier and Lady Jago ran a great race and jumped beautifully but didn't have anything left in the closing stages.
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Jorah ( 11/1 ) looks like an improver for the Skeltons stepped up in trip. Trainer says he is favourably handicapped [ off 101 ] , but lacks experience for a race like this.
 
Three at Chepstow

14:45 Chep - Knockanore 22/1
15:20 Chep - Royal Infantry (took 13/2 yesterday) but at time of posting available at only 3/1
17:10 Chep - Theatre Of Flight 15/8
 
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Certainly wouldn't buy a horse off him (or anyone) and I would neither buy a pie off him nor be confident there were any pies in stock in any of the shops in the vicinity of where he lived.
 

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