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Todays Racing -----England--Ireland

2.05 Punchestown

Lay El Fabiolo @ 2.2

There’s absolutely no reason this horse should be so short. Hasn’t run since April so won’t be match fit and plenty of Willie Mullins horses have been desperately needing a run, particularly his non first string. Hasn’t won since almost two years ago, and has only completed on two of his last 6 starts. Hasn’t run over hurdles in public since 2022, and has never won over this distance. Ballyadam won this race last year and beat a race fit Saint Sam in doing so, and given he had a flat spin last month, he is a play at around 4/1 too. Spillanes Tower is another dodge pot who id be avoiding too. Can’t see anything else involved.

Lay El Fabiolo at 2.2
Back Ballyadam at 5.0
 
4.20 lady rainclound 33/1 e/w

3rd to AISLINGS OSCAR off level weight beaten 2L Aislings then won next three, Lady raincloud apprentice ridden last four times and Barry McHugh takes over tonight
 
Yes it looked like a broken neck - you only had to see how his legs went rigid. Really sad as I thought he was a nice horse - may not have beaten the winner but he would have picked up more races.
 
Poor taste from Ed Chamberlin after the race saying this is what’s great about NH. I know he was talking about Edwardstone but …
 
He's not a horseman compared to Luke and Alice who straight away knew what had happened. He's just a sports presenter.
 
I had a friend who was there today in an official capacity and he spoke to a couple of the valets who said the jockeys had come back in saying the ground was frozen in parts under the surface so yes it does sound like you are correct.

Not sure how many trainers/jockeys actually walked the course and unlike pointing I have no idea if there is a course inspector that goes out and does a final check ALL the way around with a going stick. You would hope so.
 
1425 Newcastle Kalo Athena

Horse got its first win last time out at Wetherby.
That was a Class 5, 0-100 Handicap over 3 miles on soft going. Its mark that day was 79 but today’s 10lb claimer was onboard so it ran off 69. It was a conditional jockey’s race, which may prove relevant later. The average OR of the race was 82.8.
Race conditions are virtually the same with a slight average OR rise to 86.5.
It has been put up 6lbs fort the win to 85 and as the claimer is the same as last time then the 6lb rise remains.
The win last time was achieved with first time cheekpieces and there is no guarantee they will have the same effect 2nd time around.
Trainer hasn’t sent that many here the last 5 years with a record of 2/14. Hurdles wise that becomes 1/11.
Jockey is the interesting factor for me and ultimately swings the lay.
Very limited record at the Course of 0/4 and 0 places.
The career record over Hurdles at all courses is 2/50.
Both wins came in conditional jockey’s handicaps and yet to win outside that arena.
The win on this one last time out was a surprise given the odds of 9/1.
It broke a losing run of 46 going back to August 2023.
Rise in the ratings, not 1st time cheekpieces and the Jockey stats make it opposable for me.
 

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