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538 calls it a statistical dead-heat. Silver calls it Trump. Lichtman calls it Harris. I'm not calling it but agree with Seth Myers.

All the polls think that it's neck and redneck.

Analysis of early voters (should be pinned but, if not, timed at 12.01 yesterday). https://news.sky.com/story/us-election-donald-trump-kamala-harris-skynews-live-latest-republican-democrat-polls-13209921?postid=8544233

I already have Cheltenham et Al. A very good read but my favourite memories of him involve his pieces at the end of the C4 Cheltenham highlights programmes.

Given that it's not a cheap exercise (but, to be fair, also not one undertaken by poor people) to travel, maybe the Australian vets should do their tests in Europe before the horses have travelled. if they are clear at that stage then some sort of insurance system could be available with a...

Rehill Relic goes in the 5.03 at Exeter tomorrow. First time in a handicap and ready to run but will come on for the race. For the others in my stable: Orbys River will go chasing subject to schooling. May go to Bangor next week. Mountain Lake had a busy spring/summer for a 4yo and developed...

I read that Mandela couldn't find a plane for his US anti-apartheid tour and Trump did indeed step in.......and charged him $130000 to charter it. Business is business.

1993 and a Brad master class.

Connie's covering was 1st October terms and yesterday's scan shows her still in foal. Predicted foaling window of 25th March to 5th April.

Early weather forecast for election day in Ohio. It will be raining cats and dogs. :rolleyes:

This is one of the key variables. As it stands, I don't see many Democrats taking that option because they know that Trump would probably be a worse option for their views. However, as we've both observed, much can happen in the next few weeks.

I think you missed my point. A cut from 2.10 to 1.80 for Harris in the immediate aftermath was over-reaction and 'dramatic'. The 1.93 is more realistic and aligns nicely with the Pennsylvania price.

As Luke implies, if a week is a long time in politics, 8 weeks is an eternity. However, early (postal) voting will soon be under way so there is some point to keeping an eye on the polls and the odds. It would be correct that most Taylor Swift fans are likely to support the Democrats anyway but...

Trump was terrible, veering between appearing to be a confused old man and a spoilt 5 year old who, when caught out in a lie enhances it with another one. However, I don't believe that, in itself, the debate changed many minds or voting intentions.

As I've said several times, anyone having a bet 60 days out is very brave. As it stands, it looks like Pennsylvania will decide it. It's currently even there and postal voting starts in 10 days time. If Nate Silver thinks it's too close to call, it is too close to call...

Correctly predicted 9 out of the last 10 and the one he got wrong was the Gore/Bush dangling chad election where, in retrospect, he was probably correct as well.

Reminds me of The Water Babies characters, Mrs Doasyouwouldbedoneby and Mrs Bedonebyasyoudid.

About the only thing that could make the 'weird' ticket even weirder: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwy5ekxlwzgo

Anyone with an unbalanced book on the election and not attracted by the 10/11 Harris might like to consider that she needs to win Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania to win the electoral college and that treble is currently about 3/1 with Hills.

By the (further right than UK) standards of US politics, you'd say that CNN and NBC were to the left, ABC and CBS in the centre with Fox News and Newsmax to the right. On that basis, Trump should be quite worried as yesterday's rant/news conference on the economy appears to have no significant...