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  1. G

    The 2025 Topham Handicap Chase

    What is the story with Amirite? Not a great deal of evidence to suggest he's well in, but has come close to biggish wins at around this mark, and has been backed to win before. A shortish price, nevertheless, given that he's only managed to win once in his career. And just the one run over...
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    The 2025 Topham Handicap Chase

    Regarding whether he can stay, this is confirmation bias on my part because I already wanted to back him, but I think it's a plus that he stayed 2m+ over hurdles as a 3yo in France.
  3. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    I'm wondering about Murcia's 13lb pull compared to Cheltenham, although I see I've missed the good prices on her.
  4. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    Yes, that's right, but when choosing between them now the first tie-breaker is current ratings.
  5. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    I don't think that's right. According to RP: DC is now rated 144, SU is 143, RM 142.
  6. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    I'm basing that on the fact that RP says that in future races Duffle Coat will race off 1 lower than his National mark, while the other two will race off 3 and 2 lower respectively.
  7. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    Looks like Duffle Coat is the last one in? If I'm not mistaken his current mark is higher than Roi Mage and Shakem Up'arry
  8. G

    What are you backing Today? Part 2

    In the hope that surely he must drop to a winning mark at some stage, Third Time Lucki, 3:20 Ascot
  9. G

    Grand National 2025 tipping competition.

    I'm going for the Brits to strike back: 1. Hyland 2. Hitman 3. Bravemansgame 4. Senior Chief 5. I am Maximus 6. Beauport 7. M Cocooner 8. Perceval 9. Threecardbrag 10. Intense Raffles
  10. G

    The 2025 Topham Handicap Chase

    Same here, GDM was my strong first impression
  11. G

    The 2025 Lincoln Handicap

    One thing I've learned from this race is that George Boughey's runners can go off at a good price! He said afterwards that this had been the plan for a long time and that they fancied it, but today it drifted on the exchange to as high as 75 or 80, I think, before finishing around mid 40s before...
  12. G

    The 2025 Lincoln Handicap

    Lost it on the nod... But awesome work
  13. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    Ooh, interesting: having taken a few 150s I've just had some 95s taken off me on the exchange. Interest stirring?
  14. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    https://www.stalbansreview.co.uk/sport/national/25046839.hyland-fling-beyond-wildest-dreams-excited-owners/
  15. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    No tougher a test? I guess you're making a rhetorical point, but... 3m 5f vs 4m 2f 24 fences vs 30 fences 20 runners vs 34 5yo+ vs 7yo+ 16,000 spectators vs 150,000
  16. G

    The 2025 Lincoln Handicap

    Old Cock is shortening.
  17. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    Illustration: Nicholls' 5 yr win rate: 24% His 24/25 win rate: 18% His win rate in the last fortnight: 13%
  18. G

    The 2025 Grand National

    I've been interested in Stay Away Fay too, but I see he's out to 130 on the exchange. A sign he's unlikely to run? Or perhaps just a total lack of money for the time being in a small market. Anyway, no sign of confidence, yet, from the yard, for a horse that is yet to come right. That said, a...
  19. G

    The 2025 Lincoln Handicap

    I do as long as it stays dry. Doesn't sound very comfortable, does it?
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