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  1. NumberCruncher

    NH Chase courses?

    This site has some info on jumps courses that may be useful (Characteristics of UK Jumps Racecourses). I haven't reviewed it myself yet, my interest will be on whether I can use the draw bias to improve my ratings for the flat, and it's still on the to-do list.
  2. NumberCruncher

    Staking Plans

    My new project (which I've only recently started paper trading) is taking what I've learnt about the ratings on matchbets, and applying it to normal selections. In that spreadsheet I have settings for selecting proportions on win vs place stake - my preference is 25% win and 75% place rather...
  3. NumberCruncher

    Staking Plans

    For me, the style of betting and the level of success you achieve should be a factor in deciding what staking plan to use. And if like Ian you have a number of projects with separate banks on the go at any one time (which is the approach I take), the staking plan could be different for each...
  4. NumberCruncher

    Bet365 up for sale

    Rather than give up completely, if you still enjoy betting this could be a good time to look at alternative options. The 100 or 50 Index with spread firms could be a good option for you, or the matchbets that I prefer. I've never had a problem backing or laying with spread firms, though the...
  5. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    The matchbets for the 1.50 today pitch Ginny's Destiny against Imperial Saint, and Moon D'Orange against Some Scope. Looking at the racing post data available to non subscribers, there's a number of items that favour one over the other in each case, but is it enough to make a selection...
  6. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    It might sound like a lot of effort to collect the data, but most info I use comes from the ratings service. The only info I need to collect myself is the class of the race, the matchbet spreads and the race result (i.e. the winning or losing distance). Once the matchbets for Cheltenham are...
  7. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    The data that I'm recording is a mix of actual ratings applied by the service I've subscribed to, some calculations that I apply using those ratings (e.g. an average of past performances), other elements that I think show specific attributes (e.g. suggest that a horse has been improving), and...
  8. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    You also need to make sure that you understand what the data represents, and the RPR is a perfect example of this. When looking at the RPR for todays race, it represents what the racing post ratings method considers to be the horses ability for the race conditions today. When looking at the...
  9. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    Results from yesterday are: I’ve also added the Racing Post data for a single race to a spreadsheet so that I can explain how I’m using similar data. Nothing I outline here is actually included in my method, it’s just an explanation of the different types of data available, and how I would use...
  10. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    One more today 19.15 - Shamardia / Bomb Squad - Sell @-0.5 (Sporting Index)
  11. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    Finally have something to get me re-started. 12.55 Doncaster - Yealand / Salt Rock - Buy @ 1.5 (Sporting Index & Spreadex)
  12. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    No more qualifiers recently, so I'll take up the option I mentioned previously of tweaking the selection process. I'll be incorporating the A1 items across the board, and will also start using the rating option in RFSP where different percentages are staked depending on whether a bet is rated...
  13. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    I used the spare time yesterday to enhance the spreadsheets so that I now have the running totals automatically populated, and it confirmed that handicaps class 4-6 is still the general area with the best results. That's just my way of pulling out some selections to help demonstrate the RFSP...
  14. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    There weren't any qualifiers yesterday, banks currently stand at – RFSP £378.83 / Normal £379.78 / Level Stakes £379.48 Next stakes will be – RFSP £11.06 / Normal £9.49 / Level Stakes £10.00
  15. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    Two so far today, both at Market Rasen 12.50 - Orbys River / J'Habite En France - Buy @ 1.75 15.45 - Jeffery's Cross / Magical Escape - Buy @ 3.75 Full list of matchbet options is:
  16. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    Hawk Stone was well backed yesterday, I could have closed the spread with a 50p profit before the race! End result was a maximum loss, bet closed at 15. Banks now – RFSP £381.58 / Normal £382.22 / Level Stakes £381.92 Stakes today – RFSP £10.92 / Normal £9.56 / Level Stakes £10.00
  17. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    Only one qualifier for me so far. 14.10 - Newcastle Soldiers Leap / Hawk Stone - Sell @ -0.5 Sporting Index Matchbets available
  18. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    Day 3 is the first profitable day which starts to show the difference RFSP makes, where the returns on the only winning day are higher for RFSP than on the traditional bank or level stakes options. We’re still well short of the floor, but the RFSP bank is virtually the same now as the others...
  19. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    Just two qualifiers today, but at least one is finally jumps related. 16.08 Newbury - Keable / Job - Buy @ 4.75 Sporting Index 1930 Kempton - Sweet Fantastic / Choreographic - Buy @ 3.00 Sporting Index Probably a good time to mention value, which is another thing to factor in, particularly for...
  20. NumberCruncher

    Spreads, System(atic) Betting & Staking Plans

    Simmo’s comment on this being an interesting concept got me thinking about who might benefit from this thread. Essentially anyone visiting this site is a horse racing enthusiast, and is likely to have at least an occasional bet, but the level of success each of us currently has will determine...
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