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  1. Harbinger

    Champion Hurdle 2014

    What happens when you try to access it with a normal browser?
  2. Harbinger

    One horse race

    Walkover: http://rules.britishhorseracing.com/Orders-and-rules&staticID=126367&depth=3
  3. Harbinger

    Plenty on here won't agree

    Sadly, I was considering drugs to be covered under the term 'training' :(
  4. Harbinger

    Plenty on here won't agree

    "Maintaining speed for longer" is the same thing as going faster, since speed is directly related to position (i.e. its the change in position with respect to time). Now, if you're talking about absolute top speed at any particular momentary instance, then that's a different story, and not...
  5. Harbinger

    Plenty on here won't agree

    Given the changes in breeding over the last 50 years, and the huge increase of lower-grade racing, comparing averages may not be the best way to measure it.
  6. Harbinger

    Favourite Race

    If you watch it enough times, Giants Causeway wins.
  7. Harbinger

    Favourite Race

    That's my number one. Poor Falbrav. Sea The Stars' Derby & Eclipse were great races to be at. Remember Ouija Board and Alexander Goldrun locking horns all the way down the Goodwood straight? Good times.
  8. Harbinger

    St Nicholas Abbey

    Sad news. I assume the colic was in some way caused by the other problems he had; e.g. reduced mobility, stress etc. rather than just a random occurrence (which would be just the worst luck)?
  9. Harbinger

    The 2014 World Hurdle

    Depends on the size of the retainer, no? Especially over jumps where you're never too far away from an injury.
  10. Harbinger

    Champion Hurdle 2014

    About that 86...
  11. Harbinger

    Champion Hurdle 2014

    Our Conor: Master Rating 169 :ninja:
  12. Harbinger

    Champion Hurdle 2014

    Timeform's best 5 performance ratings for Istabraq were 172+, 172+, 171+, 170+, 169+ but they had a Master Rating for him as high as 180. Hurricane Fly's best performance ratings are 171+, 170+, 170, 169+, 169+, 169+ and his Master Rating is 173 (it might have been higher previously, someone...
  13. Harbinger

    Champion Hurdle 2014

    Timeform have them bang up there with him, but based on a positive view of the Kempton form (as opposed to the multiple times HF has run to within a few pounds of his rating).
  14. Harbinger

    Kevin Blake's Book: It can be Done

    Was Soccernomics originally released as 'Why England Lose'? I read that when it came out and thought it just got silly from the second half onwards. Spot on about Moneyball; and pretty much all of Lewis' stuff is worth reading. Start at the start and work your way through. I wonder what kind of...
  15. Harbinger

    Who will win the Cheltenham Gold Cup 2014 (A Poll)

    I've increased the poll choices on here to maximum 40.
  16. Harbinger

    Kevin Blake's Book: It can be Done

    I actually calculated it on the price he took. In short: the selections he made were good enough at the price he took to make it very difficult (without a lot of bad luck, basically) for him to lose. Regarding SP, he beat it 38 times out of the 56 bets. Took the same price as the eventual SP 12...
  17. Harbinger

    Kevin Blake's Book: It can be Done

    I think the key question is "How good is his ability to select bets?". If you add up the implied percentage chance of all of the odds he took, you would expect him to have around 9 winners. But he's finding so much value that even if he hit that bookies' expectation of 9 winners he would be...
  18. Harbinger

    Kevin Blake's Book: It can be Done

    (You did ask) I've only read the first 4 or 5 chapters so far so I don't know if he goes through it in detail later, but based on the proofed results at the back of the book: He only had 56 bets, so normally you'd think "small sample size!" but you have to remember that he specifically chose...
  19. Harbinger

    Kevin Blake's Book: It can be Done

    He mentions in the book that he loves NH and follows/analyses it but doesn't bet seriously on it. Too heavily analysed by others for him to find a consistent edge.
  20. Harbinger

    RacingPost Hacked

    Yep, the database is (mostly) great but is hemmed in by an absolute clunker of a site and search interface.
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