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It could be a belter of a race. Richmond Lake isn’t entered in the National but Top Of The Bill, Monbeg Genius, Myretown and Deafening Silence all are and there is the half-a-million bonus for winning both as a very considerable incentive. If their ambitions with Deafening Silence are serious...

They might not want Beauport to show too much ahead of the National weights coming out next week. He appeared not to stay, surprisingly enough, last year but did run freely. This is his first run after a wind-op and they might want the National to be his second, when the received wisdom appears...

Tomorrow, Kingwell Hurdle - Intellotto has been cut to 40/1, a price I’ve taken. I now see that it has shortened in quite a few places and is more generally 33/1. Unfortunately it is win-only. I’ve backed it because the ground at Wincanton is unusually heavy and he is the only one with form in...

You know me so well...

It shouldn't beat the favourite, obviously; I just thought 10/1 was the wrong price. It's jt-2nd top on ORs with the 2/1 2nd-fav and 1lb in front of it on adjusted RPRs and rated higher than the 8/1 3rd-fav.

Don't see a thread for the Reynoldstown tomorrow and there might not be enough interest to start a discrete one but I've taken 10/1 the outsider of the four, Crest Of Fortune. Even money about the favourite might prove to be generous but the 10s about Crest Of Fortune looks wrong too. I’ve...

Yes, that goes back a couple of years to when "to save costs and keep prices down" they stopped publishing in the Weekender both codes for most of the year. They have a QR code in the NH Weekender for the AW Flat form and once the Whitbread meeting, occasionally they include Punchestown, is past...

A number of years back I took up one of the RP offers to the site - can't remember for how long - and I recall it allowed me to calculate my own ratings via my own input re pounds per length (which I calculate differently from the commercial outfits). I recall Sunybay was keen on using the RP...

I'm just putting this out there in its most general sense since we seem to be picking up new/younger members. There are some excellent judges on here who put up winners pretty regularly and I understand if they swerve this thread completely. I'm prompted in part by this week's considerable...

Willie Mullins says he plans to send something over for the race.

It would be mine too. I can see it running to 160+ :)

:)

And the owner of Langer Dan wasn't asking for his horse to be looked after last season ahead of some lucre this time? Slim, I do think comparing this horse with this time last year is a total red herring. Going back to the general perception of the race, can we go back to the old 'take x out'...

So people are saying only TQ acted in the ground when others were already proven in it? How likely is that? I think TQ was simply too fast for them. Horses who have proved heavy ground holds no issues for them just couldn’t go with him. Better ground against better horses will certainly be a...

I totally get how extreme the conditions were and how the form is open to question. I’m out and about at the moment and am very slow texting via my phone so I’ll reply at more length later on. In the meantime perhaps if anyone has a paper copy of Saturday!s RP they could check the section -...

What about Inothewayurthinkin then? What was it doing a year before it’s Gold Cup win?

Just out of curiosity, I wanted to see if ATR had an 'expert view take on the race', the way Simon Rowlands (has he retired?) used to do but there's nothing up yet. However on the 'Home' page Tom Collins says the following in his 'expert analysis' item: Another noteworthy performance at Newbury...

What's to explain? It was a year ago. Who would have thought Haiti Couleurs would have been a live Gold Cup contender a year ago?

Ratings improvements on that kind of level are nothing too unusual in younger horses, especially in Ireland. Make A Stand started his Champion Hurdle season rated 117! Couldn't win the Greatwood off 127 but three weeks later won the big 2m hcap hdle at Sandown off that mark, then the Lanzarote...

That level of evidence would still be a bit thin for me but it's an angle worth having at the back of my mind. It looked to me in the Supreme - he was the only non-Irish runner, was rated 125 and went off at 125/1) - that he couldn't go the early pace and was totally looked after in the final...