This is clearly expressed and arrives at the same short-list as my analysis with regard to stamina aptitude (stripping out the non-runners).
The average Dosage index (DI) for the past 11 2,000 Guineas winners is 1.65 (see table), but those with a slightly higher DI than the average (up to around DI 2) seem the ideal type for the race. Of the past 11 winners those that fall into this bracket are: Henrythenavigator (1.92), Cockney Rebel (1.91), George Washington (1.67), Haafhd (2.33), Rock Of Gibraltar (2.16), Kings Best (2.06) and King Of Kings (1.78). Golan is the only winner of this race in the past 11 renewals with a DI of below 1 (indicating greater stamina potential than is usually associated with this race), which gives hope to those that appear better suited to middle distances such as Rip Van Winkle (DI 1.10) and Gan Amhras (0.76).
YEAR COLT
DI
2008 Henrythenavigator1.92 2007 Cockney Rebel1.91 2006 George Washington1.67 2005 Footstepsinthesand 1.08*(from 1.77)2004 Haafhd2.33 2003 Refuse To Bend1.05 2002 Rock Of Gibraltar2.16 2001 Golan0.60*(from 0.78)2000 Kings Best2.06 1999 Island Sands1.57 1998 King Of Kings1.78
AVERAGE
1.65
* Adjusted for the inclusion of Rainbow Quest as a Classic/Solid chef-de-race (see www.chef-de-race.com/dosage/chefs-de-race/rainbow_quest.htm)
If we concentrate on those lying in the band of DI 1.4-2.2 (capturing the majority of the past 11 winners), we are left with a shortlist of: Arazan (DI 1.53), On Our Way (1.80), Mastercraftsman (1.82), Shaweel (1.86), Set Sail (1.93), Himalya (1.93), Ouqba (1.96), Monitor Closely (2.00) and Intense Focus (2.20).
