4.20 York: input needed

EC1

EC1

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I think there is a good opportunity here to get a bit of value. The main reason is i think Tendu is a poor favourite.

On track form he doesn't look a 5f speed animal to me. He got going late at stiff Ascot 6f which doesn't scream 5f to me.

I can also find one negative breeding stat. Her Dam sire's record with 3yo over 5f to 5.5f is ...1/42 winning at just 19% of market expectancy [thanks to Flatstats for this]

So there should be value here even if picking two against the field. Any suggestions?

My choice of two against the field are Blue Aegean + Fast Act at 13.0 + 27.0 on betfair

both look good to me

what are your choices?
 
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Fast act is the value bet of the day for me EC1, my favourite meeting of the year this. Jockey booking an eyecatcher for Kevin Ryan.

Fahey's Zuhoor Baynoona has had some decent runs and wasjust over 2 lengths behind Tiggy Wiggy at this track. Won comfortably last run at Bath against mediocre horses and with Hanagan up it's a good combination at York. Worth an each way dip I think.
 
Part time punter said:
Fast act is the value bet of the day for me EC1, my favourite meeting of the year this. Jockey booking an eyecatcher for Kevin Ryan.

Fahey's Zuhoor Baynoona has had some decent runs and wasjust over 2 lengths behind Tiggy Wiggy at this track. Won comfortably last run at Bath against mediocre horses and with Hanagan up it's a good combination at York. Worth an each way dip I think.
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the third horse in Zuhoor Baynoona's race..also the best figure in that race... won easy since.. so form is good
 
That might well happen but at evens I'm not willing to risk my money to find out.

I like Zuhoor Baynoona a lot. She won at Bath like a good horse even though some of the dynamics of the race did not fit well.
Hanigan for Fahey , I think 5 furlongs might be beneficial. 8/1 a sporting price.
 
top stable, top pedigree, good jockey booking
I have her 10 pounds clear
I think she should be odds on
 
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