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Ante Post jumps discussion thread 2025/26

Skeltons will run L’eau De Sud in the Champion Chase.

Thistle Ask is an absolute certainty to go to the Grand Annual. Even if they thought he had another 10 pounds in hand, he’d hack up in the Grand Annual and when ya chasing trainer titles

(Not saying he’d win a Grand Annual either, just if ya have a Champion Chase horse, you want to be exploiting his mark first)

Absolutely solid reasoning, DJ, and I totally agree with you but I just can't help thinking they think it might be up to running a very big race in the CC.

We have a fair idea of LEDS's ceiling. I don't think we do of TA's.
 
I've slept on this overnight and cashed out for a tiny loss.

I remembered halfway through my 3am pee that TA can jump right-handed and his task at Cheltenham would be a tough one without having to overcome jumping out to the right as well.

I think they might want to try and cherry-pick decent prizes on right-handed tracks. I'm not sure if there are any more at Kempton but there might be at Ascot or Sandown.

This morning I ran the Mambo5 race and this one's simultaneously from them crossing the first fence.

The leaders in both races were pretty close, the novices slightly ahead, if anything, until TA moved marginally ahead and stayed there and the only reason they finished very close was because TA wasn't being asked any questions all the way up the straight. Whether he had more to give I wouldn't know but it looked like M5 might have benefitted from a pace collapse. Both races were over 4s faster than standard.
 
Have done my first a/p bet for that meeting in March.
jordons 50/1 skybet Pertemps hurdle.

finished 5th in the qualifier today to its 25/1 stablemate.
never put in the race until late on.
The winner needed to win to get in but Jordans didn't and is well weighted on his chase form.
50/1 is too big imo.

Edit.
I just thought about it and checked and its the first 4 that qualify now,not 6. 🤬
Oh well.
 
Have done my first a/p bet for that meeting in March.
jordons 50/1 skybet Pertemps hurdle.

finished 5th in the qualifier today to its 25/1 stablemate.
never put in the race until late on.
The winner needed to win to get in but Jordans didn't and is well weighted on his chase form.
50/1 is too big imo.

Edit.
I just thought about it and checked and its the first 4 that qualify now,not 6. 🤬
Oh well.

It sounds like the jockey misjudged it after trying to ride for fourth place, in which cse they'll probably do the same thing in the next qualifier so I wouldn't give up hope too quickly.

I see in that result yesterday that the favourite and runner-up was Yeah Man off 118. That's a very low mark for a chaser of his ability. He ran off off 144 in the Kim Muir and 142 in the Irish National. However, given Sir Gino was rated 163 when reverting to hurdles despite never previously hitting more than the mid-150s, I'll be surprised if the UK handicapper allows YM to get into the Pertemps Final off anywhere the likely equivalent hurdles mark of around 124. It's more likely to be around 137. Maybe they should enter it for a UK qualifier to find out.
 
Stellar Story, Grand National.

Likely get soft ground. Stays longer than the mother. Getting his mark down in these grade 1s.

Graded horse when he gets his conditions.
 
I'm at it again but I can't help it.
moon d 'orange. 25/1 is worth the risk as that price is too big.ber365
won it last year but it is 6lb worse off with the 2nd,who i put up for the Paddy power a/p only for it not run.
 

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