Australia?

Colin Phillips

At the Start
Joined
Dec 22, 2003
Messages
13,268
Location
Talbot Green
To win today in the first at the Curragh?

By Galileo out of Ouija Board and fetching 525,000 guineas as yearling much will be expected but even though she was at the very top on the racecourse Ouija Board's offspring, so far, have not set the sport alight.
 
Oh ! This must be mine in our competition on here - I was told it was all set to be called Orchestra though. Maybe they werent allowed it or something...

Ah well - Id lay it everyone, with how fantastic I ended up making last years 2yo for them, this one is bound to be equally talented !!
 
AOB is having winners recently but its interesting to note that in the last 14 days he has sent out 7 odds on shots..some very long... and only one has won at 4/9...you would expect over half of them to have won in reality
 
and only one has won at 4/9...you would expect over half of them to have won in reality

Out of interest would you know how to calculate that mathematically? i/e his expected winners from the seven runners?
 
AOB is having winners recently but its interesting to note that in the last 14 days he has sent out 7 odds on shots..some very long... and only one has won at 4/9...you would expect over half of them to have won in reality


A few awful runs too, Magician and Indian Chief at Royal Ascot spring to mind.
 
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