AW Champions Day

EC1 said:
hard races...hard to be confident about any of them...had a each way Canadian on these..and a few guinness's ready

1.40 Saucy Minx
Fav will probably win but this one is nicely priced around 12/1. Amanda Perrett does very well with fillies and mares at Lingfield. Her record is 11/62 showing a profit £41. If just looking at those up to 7f she is 4/11 ..+28. This one won well last time after taking a keen hold so fair to say more to come. Can hit the frame..might win if fav dips.

2.10 Alben Star
The pace in this will be strong which will suit Aben Star. Had no chance last time in a 5f race that suited being near the pace..it wasn't your typical 5f thrash pace in that and after dwelling at start and losing ground on turn ran a marvellous race to only be beaten 3.5 length by pace suited lightscameraction. Can finish for at least a place here. It was a toss up between this one and Realise..think the 6f at this pace could well see Realise be a big player here but the trip could still be an issue for him.

2.40 Anglophile

I've no real views at this sort of trip on the AW..just sticking it in due to Appleby's record with staying types in Class A or B here..his record is 6/12 +17 lsp.

3.15 Captain Joy

Was only a nk behind Sovereign Debt in this last year and the difference in price to that one swings it..this one 16/1. The added bonus is Smullen on board..his record on CJ is 155411321.

3.45 ..not picked owt out as i think Grendisar will win but crap price..nothing appeals at bigger odds

4.15 Aquerooo

Has a bit to find but run style suited here..there is a lot of pace in this..if Wolowitz hadn't been drawn so wide i'd be fancying him but at 3/1 and the wide draw would rather go with Hannons..hopefully can pick a place when those at front have had enough. Wolowitz could be owt and has put up good speed figures so wouldn't be surprised if he overcame the draw..3/1 too skinny though in this field.

4.45

the only one i haven't thrown into the canadian is Haalick..this one looks only one i'd tackle with a little confidence..is the best hoss [luv u Clive:)]..in the race ...and it looks like the pace will be set up perfectly for the late finish. Looks the strongest bet of the day
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Good shootin', EC1
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cheers DO..if i hadn't let that draw with wolowitz put me of would been a couple of grand just off the canadian..decent day though..made a few hundred quid in all....not bad for the board dunce :)..if i were in thailand i could have me a few ladyboys:)

just noticed..the thread has about 1000 views..not bad to say its a NH board mainly
 
I'm talking from the pocket but Andrea gave the favourite a horrifc ride in the last.

Jamie Lynch saying he'd ride race again if he could was beyond being kind.

ARC and sponsors can throw as much money as they want here but when nearly a third of the races are won by luck in running then something needs to be done. Even the Marathon nearly stopped the best horse.

These arent't two bob races FFS.

Edit : Well done by the way EC, looks like you had a good day.
 
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wilsonl said:
I'm talking from the pocket but Andrea gave the favourite a horrifc ride in the last.

Jamie Lynch saying he'd ride race again if he could was beyond being kind.

ARC and sponsors can throw as much money as they want here but when nearly a third of the races are won by luck in running then something needs to be done. Even the Marathon nearly stopped the best horse.

These arent't two bob races FFS.

Edit : Well done by the way EC, looks like you had a good day.
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interesting re Haalick..i though the same after watching it..but after doing the figures the race was set up for a closer..but not a deep closer....the unlucky horse pace wise was Race Day who set too strong fractions..he comes out the best rated in the race once pace is allowed for..

Sea Of Flames was just about best placed.. but even he was tiring. You needed to be away from the pace for sure..but its fair to say that Hallick was probably three lengths too far back. For a simple comparison of the pace...The earlier race won by Captain Joy was run very efficiently..but was still nearly a second slower than Race Day to 2 out. If the race had been run more efficiently..Race Day would have won imo..and Haalick beaten even further.

kadrizzi was unlucky in the sprint..an efficiently run race and he was sat too far back..he actually comes out the winner once finishing effort is taken into account
 
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Agree with comments about Haalick being an unlucky loser, but that is part and parcel of Flat racing. He was ridden just the same in the Spring Cup and got all the gaps going as plenty of others got stopped in their tracks there. Agree with EC about Race Day - strange decision to fire him up with the visor considering he set a good gallop from the front in the Spring Cup, he was hardly the sort of horse that needed wakening up. Sea of Flames full value for his improvement and a reminder of how good Silvestre de Sousa is at present.
 
Think the visor was a result of his dropping the bit, then running on again in his previous race, DJ.
Defo cost him yesterday though.
 
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