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Victoria cup Saturday..

Emell I mentioned a few times last sesson should've won off a 105 at goodwood when cantering,then ran in the corresponding Victoria cup when 5th of 105 got stopped in run was full of running wouldn't have won but was second best hortse in the race to speculative bid.He has a very inconsistent profile just two wins from 28 on turf runs plenty of good races like the 5th to fadhayyil at York 5th to cable bay at haydock in group 3 and even this season kicked off over a trip too far on ground too slow in the Lincoln running 6th of 22.
Ilike the fact he's only run once at ascot in this race think it suits his style running through horses,also had a few of Saturdays field behind,the ground should be perfect wants it good/gdfm probably not to fast has last to a couple of these windfast and finished behind outback traveller on faster ground but very little in it.If he can run to last years form off a 3 pound lower mark then the 40/1 would look massive,his strike rate is very poor with a horse with so much ability but think you can put a line through some of the recent disappointments obn varying grounds and trips and he maybe a better on a track and trip where he was very unlucky in running.
I havn't gone thoroughly through the race but most of the runners seem familiar,it seems quite a few that are a lot shorter in the market won't want faster ground and some havn't run well at the track,can't leave emell at 40/1 in a handicap on some of his best form,alsio the draw last year all came up the middle on fast ground so likely that will happen again so maynot have to think about the draw either.
Will probably have another bet once draw and decs are out but for now emell at a huge price,should be half that price on best form of last season at best..

Emell 40/1 365

<blockquote data-quote="gigilo" data-source="post: 2346049" data-attributes="member: 65901">Victoria cup Saturday..Emell I mentioned a few times last sesson should&#039;ve won off a 105 at goodwood when cantering,then ran in the corresponding Victoria cup when 5th of 105 got stopped in run was full of running wouldn&#039;t have won but was second best hortse in the race to speculative bid.He has a very inconsistent profile just two wins from 28 on turf runs plenty of good races like the 5th to fadhayyil at York 5th to cable bay at haydock in group 3 and even this season kicked off over a trip too far on ground too slow in the Lincoln running 6th of 22.Ilike the fact he&#039;s only run once at ascot in this race think it suits his style running through horses,also had a few of Saturdays field behind,the ground should be perfect wants it good/gdfm probably not to fast has last to a couple of these windfast and finished behind outback traveller on faster ground but very little in it.If he can run to last years form off a 3 pound lower mark then the 40/1 would look massive,his strike rate is very poor with a horse with so much ability but think you can put a line through some of the recent disappointments obn varying grounds and trips and he maybe a better on a track and trip where he was very unlucky in running.I havn&#039;t gone thoroughly through the race but most of the runners seem familiar,it seems quite a few that are a lot shorter in the market won&#039;t want faster ground and some havn&#039;t run well at the track,can&#039;t leave emell at 40/1 in a handicap on some of his best form,alsio the draw last year all came up the middle on fast ground so likely that will happen again so maynot have to think about the draw either.Will probably have another bet once draw and decs are out but for now emell at a huge price,should be half that price on best form of last season at best..Emell 40/1 365</blockquote>

[QUOTE="gigilo, post: 2346049, member: 65901"] Victoria cup Saturday.. Emell I mentioned a few times last sesson should've won off a 105 at goodwood when cantering,then ran in the corresponding Victoria cup when 5th of 105 got stopped in run was full of running wouldn't have won but was second best hortse in the race to speculative bid.He has a very inconsistent profile just two wins from 28 on turf runs plenty of good races like the 5th to fadhayyil at York 5th to cable bay at haydock in group 3 and even this season kicked off over a trip too far on ground too slow in the Lincoln running 6th of 22. Ilike the fact he's only run once at ascot in this race think it suits his style running through horses,also had a few of Saturdays field behind,the ground should be perfect wants it good/gdfm probably not to fast has last to a couple of these windfast and finished behind outback traveller on faster ground but very little in it.If he can run to last years form off a 3 pound lower mark then the 40/1 would look massive,his strike rate is very poor with a horse with so much ability but think you can put a line through some of the recent disappointments obn varying grounds and trips and he maybe a better on a track and trip where he was very unlucky in running. I havn't gone thoroughly through the race but most of the runners seem familiar,it seems quite a few that are a lot shorter in the market won't want faster ground and some havn't run well at the track,can't leave emell at 40/1 in a handicap on some of his best form,alsio the draw last year all came up the middle on fast ground so likely that will happen again so maynot have to think about the draw either. Will probably have another bet once draw and decs are out but for now emell at a huge price,should be half that price on best form of last season at best.. [B]Emell 40/1 365[/B] [/QUOTE]

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