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Hamilton 8.30


Chaplin bay from the ruth carr stable stands out in this race on recent turf form the 2nd to pomme de terre at thirsk was different class race to this and has already thrown out winners great expectations and fantasy justifier,has form in Ireland on gd/fm ground was second off 68 and tomorrow even after the 2nd at thirsk just runs off 63.It maybe the horse is not reliable as has had 11 chances and still no win but the last run is the best form in the race,stalls are in the centre drawn 9 could still be an advantage and on gd/fm ground would be a surprise if the don't come up the rail,probably worth a small bet would be very disappointing if not hitting the frame.I would imagine will be heavily backed if stable expect repeat run and may well go off fav.Obviously the current fav could be chucked in has decent draw as well but as yet no turf form

There is one other in the race I had on my to follows major valentine when it won by 4ls,looked well handicapped the way it won at Kempton and then proceeded to win y 7ls again in this class race being more impressive,was bumped upto 72 and then ran well when 4th to new leayf off 72 even though going off 15/8 fav.Last run of the season ran on turf and a respectable 3rd at bath off 67 for horses rated upto 75 going off 6/1,came back onto the aw in march and struggled off the marks in the 70s on the aw at Kempton.

 John o'sheas travelled 320 mile to run major valentine and Swendab and even if he hadn't travelled the 25/1 about major valentine looks enormous as mentioned above was 3rd on gd/fm on last run on turf and yet gets in this race off 64v and with usual claimer Ciaran McKee claiming 5 pound this race for horses rated upto 65.The betting should be massively informative on that last run at bath on turf and off an 8 pound lower mark you'd be looking at him being near fav with chaplin bay,they're either going there to not try or I expect a huge gamble and at worst should be cracking trade.Again drawn in 8 could well head to standside if getting out on terms,to be honest i'm surprised the prices havn't crashed already as hadn't really looked at the meeting properly but is a very interesting runner,really can't see this being double figures if stable have it right..


Chaplin bay 5/1 365 Major valentine 28/1 hills 25/1 ppower/lads/corals/totesport/betfred/betbright/skybet..


5 + 3 = ?
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