Backed it all the way into 8s then laid off at 7s so a days wages,also got a separate bet on it at the bigger prices drifting like a barge now so interesting to see how it runs,get the feeling dropped out or run wide throughout looking at that drift..
Wolves 3.50
Critical thinking 12/1 365..
Critical thinkings been running well on the turf run lots of decent races in low 60s was onkly beaten 6ls at chester for horses rated upto 80 and other decent runs over these distances.He started off on the aw and has only won 1/13 that was a claimer at lingfield,then changed trainer and ran over tomorrows c/d off 66 behind flood defence race for horses upto 75,time was quite decent going under 1m59.Tomorrow returns off a mark of 60 and finley marsh takes off 7 pound down to just 53 getting quite a bit of weight over the older horses.These kevin frost horses are a nightmare to predict I try and avoid them if possible but critical thinking has been running consistently on the turf and if transfers those runs back on the aw then can't see any reason why he shouldn't be around 5-6/1 in what is a poor race..
Also noticed masonic has dropped 13 pound since april when running at Chelmsford off 72 in a mile race ran in a very quick time,he is still a maiden but this race could easily be his cl;ass and another that could run well at double figures..
10/1 betfred/totesport
And ew multiple
Haydock 6.45
Exort 4/5 ppower/sportsbook
Exort touched off in second place at Donny,the time looked good compared favourably to the rest of the card although I find using these Donny times on horses I've backed going onto other tracks hasn't really worked out,but it compared so favourably to the class 3 on the card only .10 slower than firefright winning the handicap on the card and open to improvement presume ground will be pretty slow and looks like could be half decent.Presuming ground rides roughly the same then this could possibly go off very short,maybe as short as 3s on,should be a great trading opportunity..
Brighton 4.10
Under the covers 6/1 365/victor/ppower/corals/365 13/2 betfred/totesport/victor/lads/corals/boyles/skybet
I put under the covers on here to follow after he won,never backed him next time out when touched off by pixileen,has gone up again in the weights from 75 to 78 could never understand why ron harris ran him in that race I was hoping for a run down the field but touched off.Tomorrow he's only 6/1 can't say there's much value in the prices and drawn in the car park in 14,i still think there are more races in him though the Johnston horse is the obvious pick was rated in the 90s last season and better draw.Will stick with him as I think he still is well handicapped and won't be deserting him if draw does beat him..
5.15
Hurrican alert 16/1 365/skybet/betway..28/1 totesport/lads big drifter although probably explained by runs off bigger weights as previous form..
Unreliable profile and an unlikely winner only ever won one race but has an ew chance in a ridiculously competitive handicap,looks like one of those horses runs best races when upped in class off low weights as opposed to running in this grade,already this season run over c/d just touched off by come on dave in a 0-75 and also a fourth to swendab missed the break for horses rated upto 75.Those two runs are miles infront of any of its other form,as said drops into these lower grade races and doesn't repeat that level,as being as it has that c/d run and decent draw then will give it a chance but there are lots in the race in form.
