Goodwood 2.0
Denmead 14/1 sportsbook/ppower
Denmeads been progressive stepped up to these distance races has only had 18 lifetime runs three wins was recently 2nd off 79 on the aw at Kempton over 2mile in a 0-85 but penulyimaste run was only beaten 9ls over 2m4fs at goodwood in a 0-100 on gd/sft ground,led over 3fs out and tomorrow back to the 2mile at goodwood.Disappointed last time out,but tried to make the running in a class 2 cesarewitch trial,tomorrows race jump jocks ride and gavin Sheehan rides had 4 winners yesterday.Negative could be trainer has been out of form no winners in last 14 runnwers but had a decent season and horse dropd into a 0-80 athough its a very competitive race..Can't really see how its going to be bigger than 7-8/1 based on the goodwood run tops..decent trade..
10/1 lads/corals 11/1 skybet/10bet/victor/boyles/betstars/marathonbet/188bet..
Medburn cutler 13/2 365/sunbets/corals/sportsbook
Medburn cutler stuck in the high 70s but rarely runs a bad race form on gd/sft ground 1/3/4/3/1/5/2/4/1 this season already two 2nds over this c/d off 76 races for horses rated upto 85 and 90,plus a 4th and and 2nd in back to back runs at Chepstow in an 85 and then a 90 rated race at Chepstow.Last time out only beaten 11ls in that ceeaewitch trial,get the impression this horse is better value in better races but can easily see this going off a lot shorter with so much solid form in slightly better races and has the track form as well.Again seem to have fallen on a trainer out of form,but prices look like contracting and overall trainer has 13% strike rate in the flat last 5 seasons..not my sort of races tyhese distabce races but at least look like shorteners..I can see medburn cutler going off around 4/1 in this race srong fav and decent trade..
Bit frustrating denmead not running but won a nice few quid on the race traded 2.36 medburn cutler after drifting to 7.4 strange drift and took 1.75 for 4 places...
4.55
Stellarta 10/1 skybet/sportsbook
Had a little bet on this earlier at 12/1,wasn't going to bother putting it up as race looks ridiculously competitive but then remembered I put it up last time out at Kempton so better put it up again as it seems all horses I have oput here recently when beaten have won on next runs.Stellarta hasn't won in 14 months,but she has some decent form and was beaten 3ls by boy in the bar over c/d in may,but now has a turnaround in weights of a stone and no guarantee boy in the bar will run to best on softer ground,although similarly stellartas best form has been on good ground she ran ok when 5th in the stewards consolation on soft ground in august over this c/d though.That was her only respectable run on soft ground so wouldn't be overly confident with plenty of soft ground horses in the race,she deserves to win a race think she will pick something uop but maybe on the aw she's worth a small bet..
