Going to have to leave the turf alone,just goinghs are changing so much your bets are beat before they run,could alsi see the going being quicker than reported at niotts tomorrow as well just going to do an ew Trixie on three short ones on the aw..Having some desperate luck,the last race at Kempton was slow bty 7 seconds the slowest race there this year over 1m4fs kathabatika ran 6 seconds quicker than that last time out,very strange race and the other was 4th if they'd gone any sort of place would've had the 1,2,bettibg almost knew it was going to happen as well no way that should've been evens in that race...
Lingfield 2.55
Imminent approach 5/2 365/sunbets generally 11/4 skybets/sportingbet/victor/bettstars/blacktype/sportsbook// 3/1 ppower/hills 5.0 betfair
Imminent approach ran in the fastest 2yr old mile maiden this season at Kempton,was very green out the back never looked like getting involved till staying on at finish eventually beaten 5ls,not even sure the extra 2fs will be enough as they tend to crawl at lingfield but undoubtedly has ability.
I would think this ones worth following just based on the Kempton run would suggest to me at least an 80 run on debut with improvement on top,it might even be though the 1m4fs will be preferable but still an interesting runner for future handicaps,hopefully there will be some pace on and not end up falsely run race..Obvioualy yabass could be better than these and maybe worth having a reverse forecast having achieved much higher ratings and also unexposed..
Kempton 7.15
Your choice 3/1 365/lads/victor/hills/betfred/totesport
Am surprised your choice is only 3/1 against some of these trainers considering laura mongan trains,i had this one marked off aftr debut run ran ok at goodwood behind threading
very mixed messages from both the maidens lots of runners in behind rated in 80s,90s etc but alsi quite a few rated in mid 60s.She then ran in a group 3 race as I've been saying all sesson these 2yr olds must be the worst I've ever seen so wouldn't read too much into her being in a group 3 race although the horse that finished behind her in last in that race has won recently so at least adss some substance to form.Out of sire fox wedge decent group sprinter in Australia,has a decent strike rate ion the courses like kenmpton,lingfield and over varying distances from 5fs to a mile.
Over tomorrows 7fs stands at 15% she is drawn 1 not much value in price when she may only be as good as her rating,but as she's drawn 1 and sire could show her improving for surface plus the stoute horse on what its shown on slow ground so far doesn't look anythung special then maybe experience will count for something..Would imagine thios could be one of those if it doesn't stat the 7fs from the 1 draw could trade exteemely low in running from that 1 stall,so at least looks decent in running..
9.15
Chough 11/10 365..
A hounds classified race for horses rated uptp 55,everythings completely exposed it seems as though chough showed improved form last time out,
it looks like getting massively overbet and going off a silly price simply because the recent course form of the others is so poor even though chough has finished behind these before at other tracks..
