Leicester 5.10
Twin appeal 13/2 sportsbook/ 7/1 lads boost / 6/1 ppower/365/unibet/corals/totesport/sportpresa/10bet/betfred/totesport/victor/boyles/betway/marathonbet
Lots of decent racing for a Monday but pricewise nothing to bet really plus unsure of going at ayr could yet be gd/sft if the rains arruive,windsor should be quickish ground but races look very tight at prices..Leicester I was hoping was going to be gd/fm but at present still good/gdsft may dry out by tomorrow and be good hopefully slightly quicker,just a small bet for me on twin appeal the prices are similar to other things I liked at other meetings and with ground still not known then and recent profile would not be an overly confident pick in a 17 runner race.
Twin appeals form has regressed from last season was rated 92 at this stage last year,on 8th of july last season was 2nd off 91 over tomorrows c/d
in a 0-95 on that gd/fm ground alsi kicked off last season with a win off 89 at musselburugh also on gd/fm does go on most grounds won on good/soft as well as good.For started to tail off a bit towards end of season although had a long 2017 ran seventeen times,won on the aw off 83 over 7fs at wolves so still respectable form although horse still hasn't been given a real break run every single month bar February 2017 its run at least once.A couple of poor runs returned to the turf and its mark has tumbled to 79,tomorrow just a 0-80 plus jane Elliot takes off another 5 pound that is lowest mark since june 2014 and hasn't run in this grade since august 2014.
Last time out ran in a 0-90 although not the strongest for grade,didn't break well at York and in the twenty runner race at the 2 furlong pole although travelling quite well got hampered and shuffled back to 3/4th last,then getting a clear run with a furlong to go had no chance but made up a fair bit of ground may have been the 3rd best runner in the race,finished 6th.Has hardly ever run a poor race on gd/fm and gd/fm would be a negative against some of this field so thought there could be a slight angle there,but at present just goodish ground could dry out but even if it doesn't with first run in this grade for four seasons then best to have a small bet..Probably worth following for a few runs as does seem to run better in better class races especially if no show tomorrow.Don't be surprised if it gets massively overbet still even in this big field and could even at these pruces be a decent trade.There are numerous horses you could pick out as dangers probably the two most interesting ones at prices give it some teddy and pastime if grounds not to quick could easily figure as both have form in 0-85s..Ptarmigan ridge I mentioned as one to follow last season as well,only won a maiden but last run on turf over 6fs behind watchable was a good start back George bown and private matter the 2nd and 3rd have won since and Bernard O'reilly from the same race last night,definitely more races to be won with this one open to improvement just the seven lifetime runs.
Drifting and others mentioned in write up getting hammered suggests ground may still be on soft side impossible to know till after a few races..ptarmigan ridge looking like being fav and
give it some teddy 7/1 was 16/1 when posted the writeup..
Twin appeal 8/1 sportsbook/sportingbet.
