Desperate stuff at the moment small fields too much racing first time in maybe three years i havn't done the cards racing far too diluted ,will have an ew multiple and maybe a couple of singles..
Newcastle 3.50
Ventura ocean 11/10 365
Doncaster 6.0
Welliesinthewater 12/1 365/skybet/betfred/totesport/betway/victor 10/1 unibet/marathonbet
Would probably be a bit surprised if welliesinthwater were good enough to win this,a lot may depend on the ground as i've never seen fast ground on the round course even though it will show gd/fm you never ever see times even getting within a second or two on it over a mile,plus if it hasn't rained think they are watering anyway..Welliesinthwater had lots of racing mainly on the aw won plenty of races but pretty exposed although has only raced ten times on the turf and won twice last turf win was off 78 in june 2016 at donny over 7fs,made a rare appearence back over that c/d recently in a 0-95 running well in 5th escobars come out of that race and won and welliesinthwaters dropped another two pound.Tomorrow the race is a furlong further and as said on the round course,there are better class horses in the race like favourite storm ahead and one or two others but a few of them want softer ground..Probably worth a small bet after that run in a 0-95 its two best tur5f runs have been on this track although was the straight,am not a fan of seeing paddy mathers riding as always seems to be on the non triers but at least its turf rating has come down did run well at leicester last sesson off 89 so could figure as long as ground is on quick/good side,fav storm ahead looks the obvious one if more juice and sinfonietta both horses are better than these on ground with juice..Really if there's any juice or rain tomorrow he will probably be nearer last as a few in here are very well handicapped softer ground horses,the betting would completely turn around as well hopefully stays dry and not get left 10ls as he has had a habit of doing,not really a horse i have backed too often even on the aw..
That was from the 19th of june,got well behind back over the 7fs tomorrow on straight track,the race looks impossible to me think its hard to rule anything out but horse is on that last winning mark over c/d,has an ew chance if getting away on terms.Can't believe i'm saying this but actually think the track needs some watering as it's very quick ground and not sure that will suit has never won in fast time even though form says run well on gd/fm..
8.0
King robert 10/1 365/skybet / Related 13/2 365 7/1 skybet/sunbets/betbright/victor
King robert has become slightly disapointing in recent runs quite a difficult ride and visors and pieces have been played around with so not showing his true potential,was rated 95 at one point hasn't won on turf since 2015 and that was hios first two runs.He still retains plenty of ability but it's a matter of will he win a race,on debut run this season a decent 3rd in a 0-95 to gunmetal over c/d,thats decent form but disappointed at haydock in a similar race last time out although the first four came off the pace in a race he led.Tomorrow he gets to run in a 0-85 for the first time drops to just 85 graham lee rides been riding a few winners,think the worst he will do is be a decent trade can't really see him being bigger than 7/1 tops in this race [presuming it's trying bryan smarts horses havn't been winning but at least has had a few places.If he can repeat the thirsk penultimate run then should run well from the 13 draw,although the fact he hasn't won for two seasons on turf with various headgear shows how difficult he is to win with..The armed man ran disappointingly here last time out,had looked progressive and open to improvement may run better than thatb last run..
Again from the 19th of june,that last run was abysmal,he may just be a dodgepot now i also noticed drifted like a barge in that race yet tomorrow is only the same prices with books and this race looks ultra conpetitve.The only positve i can see is,visors back on was on when last won on the aw 2017 off 89 ran its best form in it last season even though not still winning since 2015 on turf betting will be interesting as if it goes the same as last race will go off 20/1 hoping to see a bit of money for it.Again a bit like welliesinthwater how there is a bit of watering hasn't won on gd/fm but as above ran well behind gunmetal at thirsk in a 0-95..of just 83 tomorrow.
Same with related hardly ever wins,impossible to predict,but back on last winning turf mark and been running quite well 3rd to brian the snail over c/d last time out in a 0- 95 so capable of running well in better class races but as form hoes run before that just fourth in one of these 0-85 at ayr.Just like the other picks i hopwe there's a bit of watering as the run at ayr was on quick groun=d,there look like loads of fast ground horses in this race that like the ground even though slightly stepping up in class..
Lingfield 8.45
Hilight 10/1 sportsbook/ppower/365/totesport/betfred/skybet/boyles/victor/10bet/betway/hills/marathonbet/188bet/sportspresa
Hilight is the most interesting horse in the race,a weak 0-65 very few open to improvement on debut was sixth over 6fs here runnning on after giving 10ls away at start, winner and runner up rated 95 and 84,the thirds rated 71 came third at windsor on monday,fourth island of life rated
75 those four runners are still lightly raced and open to imprivement and hiight was onl;y just over 5ls behind on debut.Has run twoce since at wolves and kermpton over 7fs,slowly run races and has looked very one paced in races was never going to win anmyway but only hit twice with the whip in three runs.Tomorrow gets in handicap off 62 charlie bennett takes off three down to just 59,very difficult to know what his trip or ground is after those aw runs was on soft side when ran here on debut,out of archipenko does have winners over 7fs and gd/fm ground but usually better over further and slightly better on slower ground,not great draw in 7 either ..Could be very well handicapped might be a case of long term project but this race is poor and that 6f run here looks good so worth paying to find out..
Flying sakhee was a maiden till its c/d run,winning on 25th attemp as well that race looks better than this one even though same grade time was good as well and still sits on a mark of 48 if it puts it in like last run has to be involved in finish,also the other 3yr old from the 11 draw and charlie fellowes stable just three runs a third in a maiden at thirsk open to improvement wouldn't have to imprive much to figure in this if at all.
