Eachway multiples nothing special tomorrow unsure of how ground will be with a few of these minimum stakes too random tomorrow hoping horses come back to form on the ground and layoffs..got far too many other picks as well...
Nottingham 4.40
Bahamian sunrise 14/1 365/sportsbook/ppower 12/1 skybet/lads/hills Show palace 8/1/skybet 10/1 sportsbook/ppower
Unsure of how soft the ground will be and how draw will work out hae done one high draw and one low show palace drawn 16 has become well handicapped and l;ikes soft ground won off 84 last season down to just 75,a recent 4th and a 5th in august and september didn't get clear run in september and now 4 pound lower..Form this season not as good as last and not as good as some in here this season but ground might suit it better than most ,jennie candlish hasn't had a winner for awhile but this season has a 19% strike rate.
Bahamian sunrise has form on gd/sft but i've been thriugh its form and looked at the times and has never really run on very soft ground,infact it could be a negative won earlier in the season off 79,tomorrow off 77 has run well here before was 2nd in this race last season off same winning mark of 79.Bahamian sunrise drawnh in 1 on farside obvious ew chance iof goes on the ground a recent 3rd in a 0-90 at sandown as well good form for this grade but there is a chance the griund will be a lot slower tomorrow than sandown that day.Wiley post has been running well alkl season some very good looking form strangely in the past looked more like a soft ground horse yet this season most of its form has been on gd/fm or good obvious chance and manshood everyone saw how unlucky this was at newcastle was cantering stopped in run,i missed all the early double figure prices 14s was available so have left it and could just platy some forecasts.
5.15
Liamba 7/2 365 Seamster 11/2 365/ppower 6/1 sportsbook/skybet
Liamba looks the obvious pick after winning a 0-70 last time out at ayr and on very soft ground,a 0-65 tomorrow runs off 4 pound higher off 63 the 2nd from the ayr race pavers pride won yesterday,tomorrow drawn low in 5 and just 11 runs could be open to improvement.
Seamsters 11 now regressing but stoll runs ok in this grade seems to run better in better class races has been beaten easily in a few 0-65s this season but has run well over this c/d on faster ground,already two thirds here over this c.d in a 0-75 and a 0-80 but strangeky beaten in these grades in later races..Tomorrow runs off 64 did win off 70 over this c/;d last season,claimer takes off 7 as well seamsrters drawn on near side in 16 opposing side to Liamba hopefully both will go on the ground,there looks to be pace either side.
There are others on some c/d form and in this grade that have chances like piazon and coiste bodhar 2nd and 3rd in a 0-65 over c.d in april,maybe worth adding in for forecasts strictly on that run they have chances of winning but are very inconsistent..
Bath 3.15
Gun case 7/1 365 8/1 sportsbook/ppower 15/2 skybet./betfred/totesport
Guncase is a horse i'd usually avoid has been impossible to predict in the past but as its run four decent races back to back then looks to have an ew chance heads the weights off 72 clauimer takes off 7 down to 65,appears to go on softer ground 4th at hamilton in a 0-80 i september only won a weak race at ripon but was just touched off in a 0-80 at bnotts last time out.IAf it can repeat that on this ground then obvious for places..
Was sweating there three of the firms were going 5 places that i put up so will settle for that..
Newcastle 5.10
Archibelle 12/1 365/skybet 10/1 sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport
Archibelle was running well on the aw when last seen at the track won off 49 the was 2nd off 55 in a 0-75 first four 10ls clear of the 5th on that form would be heading the market but hardly seen since beaten three times on the turf and not seen since june 22nd.There's obviously been some issue with just the three runs thriugh the summer,but with just nine runs on the aw sirfaces potentially handicapped to win more races runs off a pound lower than when last seen over c/d.One for notebook for the aw season if nothing after comeback run tomorrowyou would expect it to be backed in this grade and quite heavily sio if there's no money for it think it will be reflected in run,forbidding[6/1) similarly only three runs on the aw has won off 55 here over c/d in a 0-60 runs off 57 and drops back into a 0-55 could be the one tp beat if archibelle doesnt get involved.
8.15
Testa rossa 7/1 365/skybet/victor 8/1 ppower/sportsbook
I liked field gun in this race non runner now and testa rossa can only be sopeculative as even thogh it won penultimate run its decent form is usually with a decent time on the clock that win over tomorrows mile was won in 1m37,next run drifted like a barge there was no pace and looked very slow winning time 1m40..unless it gets decent pace to aim at then you won;'t see it run well,like a lot of racdes at newcastle they can turn into a farce with false pace,this is on paoer a weaker race than the one it won,but will make little difference tio testa rossa if they dawdle..The horse is still well handicapped and worth following through the winter in these sort of races especially when truely run..
