Same as wednesday some small interests ew multiples,not really sure of ground at haydock and newcastle my least favourite aw track..really looking for places got to admit some of these are guiesswork on the aw as some have no aw form so could bomb out completeky.
Haydock 3.05
Al qahwa 13/2 hills 15/2 sportsbook/ppower 6/1 365/skybet
A 6f sprint on what is firecast as heavy/soft, Al qawah has loads of ability and usually shows it in desperate conditions or on soft ground but last run at york was disappointing even though that race was a 0-105 shouldv'e run better well beaten..Went off favourite in the ayr silver cup when giving the field 10ls start very unlucky loser had quick look,cold stare and confessional behind all in tomorrows race,if runs to best obvious ew chance at worst but quirky..Fav lord oberon(3/1) unexposed could be the alternative against these older exposed runners and has won at the track on this ground..might be worth taking the 3/1 get free bet..
Goes off 9.8 on betfair,someone was very confident was going to run a stinker shouldv'e been around 7/2 was only 6/1 to win the ayr silver cup and slughtered confessional in that race,just impossible to bet o'meara fahey and midgley horses you need a crystal ball,all of them have dome today which i would never normally do and every one of them has drifted like a barge..
3.35
Fastar 8/1 365/betfred/totesport/hills 10/1 skybet
Fastar ran behind kings pavillion last time out over c/d looked a bit unlucky got stopped in run and squeezed out,has won here previously on heavy ground off 83 off 87 tomorrow andf back up in class slightkly,not a great draw in 10 but likes c/d and conditions has an ew chance..
Newcastle 5.10
Amazing michelle 8/1 corals/sportsbook 15/2 lads betfred/totesport
Amazing michelle drops in class tomorrow into a 0-70,she has won off 73 this season at chester and run well in two class 3 races last two runs 3rd and 4th obvious ew chance in this grade if she goes on the syrface,sire mastercraftsman not brilliant stats at 10% but at least drops in class..Top two in weights falcon cliffs and ancient longing i can see running well if she doesn't..
7.15
Cliff 8/1 sportsbook/ppower Chaucers tale 16/1 365/skybet 14/1 totesport/betfred 11/1 sportsbook/ppower
Strong favourite in the race looks big impriver obvious one in the race although chosen few ran on the same card in different div and on the clock was quicker maybe worth a couple of forecasts.Cliff came 4th here over 6fs last time out staying on well has never been the most reliable most of its form has been over 6fs strangely has only run 11 times on the aw won twice placed four times so compared to turf record more consostent.The winner billyfairplay from the 6f race has won again so worth trying cliff back up to 7fs,last time ran on the aw over this trip won off 67 tomorrow runs off 58 claimer takes off 7 although has obviously regressed a bit since that win..
Chaucers tale for mick easterby,is a c/d winner runs off 60 tomorrow and the claimer takes off another 7 down to just 53 has show nothing this season but does have a very good record at this track was 2nd over this c/d last season off 59 and then won in this grade off 60 in the november
had an even better run at wolves in a 0-65 when 2nd to lucky lodge igoing off 5/4 favourite.The prices would be huge on that form even on its win over c/d so betting will tell the story...you'd expect price collapses if right in this grade speculative on recent form but intersting runner in weak race.This could go off 33s or 5s from mw stable.
8.15
Hee haw 9/1 hills/sportsbook/ppower 8/1 generally Patrick 11/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 skybet/betfred/totesport
These are both paul midgley runners,i find trainer impossible too predict although have been lucky with hee haw a couple of times,has lots of form in better races than this a third at ponte penultimate run in a 0-85 going off 9/2 but then running ion this gra.de big drifter going off 6/1 it maybe catterick didn't suit as most of its form on straight tracks.Don't know if it will go on surface out of sleeping indian decent sire on fibresand only 8% on this surface so maybe planning a tilt at that track during the aw season,worth trying though off this mark..
His other runner patrick only off 65 looked a progressive sprinmter at one time,seems to have regressed was rated 96 at one time on the aw hasn't won a race since winning off 80 in february 2017 so has a bit to prove but that was an aw win,has a very strange profile in recent times
very few runs on the aw and running over 5fs yet best run of the season was 6th of 13 in a class 2 at ripon beaten 3 3/4ls an interesting runner sire again only around 10% on tapeta betting will be interesting off just 65..
8.45
Kinloch pride 25/1 generally 28/1 lads/sportsbook/ppower
Kinloch pride very inconsistent runs some decent races in better clas then gets beat,last time out ran here in a 0-80 better clss race off 66 was only beaten 1 1/2ls in 5th on that form would have a decent ew chance,last run on the aw before that was also over this c./d 3rd in a 0-75 beaten 2ls off 68 phil dennis claimed five going off just 7/1 tomorrow he rides again claims three and weaker race.Strangely been kept to turf when has a good record here if it could back up those last twop runs over c.d then is overpriced..I have five marked off in the race front two in market and another couple will probably do something else yet,could do with a non runner out of the shortlist or even two to narrow it down may add on something later althiugh the race is impossible will probably stick to track form.
Has kept drifting and drifting looks pretty ominous,the four i mentioned in write up all backed am not surorosed yuou have another angel,gamesome and casterbridge all decent form at the track and a weak race and the second fav of faheys better class form on the turf,just too many runners to do anything especially with all prices crashing..
Redacar 5.35
Savannah moon 5/1 skybet/corals/lads/totesport/betfred/lads
Savannah moon has a couple of decent bits of form for this grade,won at ponte off 63 early season in a 0-70 on soft ground has been unreliable in recent runs very in and out last time out ran well again when 2nd at notts in another 0-70 needs to produce that run to go very close,This is a lady amatuers race harriet lees takes off 5 down to 58,she's had 10 rides two wunners +52 to level stakes i havn't watched her ride but horse would be the one to beat on its beast form,does have a poor draw thiugh..
