Swell 6.0
Quila saeda 14/1 365/hills/totesport/betfred..generally
Beaten easiy by 7ls on second run for mick appleby horse has had four runs that was first time on the surface really needs to improve on that run over a furlong further tomorrow,that was a 0-75 last time and tomorrow drops into a 0-60 really at this sort of price you'd want to see money for it in a lower grade race...It's a speculative pick relying on improvement didn't run that bad in that race was staying on and runs off just 57 with theodorre lad taking off 5 down to 52 so from basement mark,others like go native won a poor race over this c/d two runs back steps up in grade but won easily enough must have an ew chance as there's very little track form to go on..The two that stand out at weights are mundersfield and motahassen they have run well in better races on the turf if they transfer their form to this surface then coud be the most likeliest winners.. The appleby horse drifted like a barge in the 0-75,tomorrow for anysort of confidence you'd want to see this going off half current prices minimum,could yet still turn into a nice little trade as i thought it would open 7-8/1 with trainer reputation..Am hoping at least trade wise will make something so will just bet with as many books as possible,just hope it doesn;'t turn into one of those appleby drifters..
9/1 left marathinbet..
6.30
Muqarred 13/2 ppower/sportsbook 6/1 most books Majestic moon 12/1 365 11/1 skybet/betfred.betway/totesport/skybet/blacktype/boyles/
An impossible looking handicap half a dozen have a chance and appleby has casement running on debut on surface out of casemento should go well on surface and could be another he improves recently winning at ponte,muqarred and majestic moon don't win too often nowadays but were first and second last time time out over c/d in this grade 0-75, time was decent a few of these behind and both have run well in better races last season...They could both run well again now looking in better form eachway chances maybe forecasts with fav..
Muqarred 9/1 365/victor/betway 8/1 generally..
7.30
Harbour quay 11/2 365/unibet/coras/betfred/totesport 6/1 victor/skybet/unibet
A race full of rogues quite a few well handicapped as well very competitve,harbour quays only had six runs although 5yr old a seconf here to argus
in a 0-75 over 1m4fs then beaten 7 1/2ls by purple rock over the same c/d ? is trip it may not stay had seasearch 11/2(saver) 5/1 with 4 places just behind in that race so looks little between them..decent time that race and on recent form the two to focus on.Lots of well handicapped horses in here though so nothing would surprise but they would be my two especuially as seasearch guaranteed to stay..harbour quay am not sure it will stay as seasearch wouldv'e headed in in another 100 yards over 2fs less..Hopefully it will be a slowly run race which could suit harbour quay if not then seasearch should run well..others like fern owl and high command if they came back to form would win but would be a complete guess on recent form..
8.30
Maisie moo 8/1 365/victior 15/2skybet/lads/sportsbook/corals/totesport/betfred/betway/hills
Maisie moo might be flattering to decieve was recently second at kempton in a 0-70 staying on then last time out appeared to be travelling well in
a 0-75 over 7fs but stopped in run several times,i am not totally convinced was going ti run on though even though did get stopped but will have small bet dropped into a 0-60..Sire swiss spirit is 16% on the surface and on only sixth ever run i think you'd want to see some stable confidence in betting as on those runs looks well in and if expected to impriove on surface,if it doesn't get backed i suspect it might just be an unreliable type..
9/1 365/hills/betway/marathonbet 10/1 betway as i said there shouldv'e been money for this based on last two runs yet bnot a bean dropped in class probably now reflects chances..
