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Southwell 5.15


Captain dion 12/1 365  8/1 skybet  17/2 smaller firms


Captain dion was a 90 horse in 2017,last won september 2017 at pnte off 85 then was trained in ireland never realy looked like winning and a race and regressive and has plummeted to a mark in 60s..Went to ivan furtado in  march and on second run was 3rd at swell to marble bar off 60 in a 0-75 was beaten 3 3/4ls was probably a length or so better than that form as had to be switched from inside to middle of the track,the second katheefa won by 4ls next time out and the 4th crosse fore has won twice back to back races at this track.On same day socialites red won a class 6 tomorrows fav on same card that race was 1.47 seconds slower than captaun dions race..Captain dions profile is obviously one of complete regressive nature but no way is 12/1 on that form dropped into a 0-65 easily able to make a case for it being 5-6/1 tops..Should be a good trade and if stable thinks it will repeat the run then should get heavily bet,so decent trade eve if it does bomb out,the negative could be the draw in 8 but at least it has clocked a decent time on first try..Off this mark on this surface youd expect it to win a race at some point..

Global melody similarly a front runner in the race,that should be ok after a 4th to bellevarde over c/d off 68 in a 0-75 and also another decent run over c/d when 4th behind katheefa metioned above this was the race it went onto win,strictly on that form would apprar to have somethung to find but will be more prominent and has only ten lifetime rins thids is also 8/1 with 365/sportsbook/ppower/skybet 17/2 totesport/betfred 9/1 hills /victor/betway another likeky shortener in running...



Some 9/1 still left with 365 not for long..


5 + 3 = ?
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