Going to have a few bets tomorrow but will be reducing stakes drastically to 1/4 as turf form not yet to reliable and working out goings is a feat in itself so tiny stakes,some are speculative like first one we did last time out..others are shorter than i was hoping for as well most look to have decent place chances its all about fitness..Sort of talked myself into them after spending eight hours on the cards,so better do them just incase,too much really so just reduced stakes as when you have so many bets they rarely turn out winning days..
newcastle placepot
1,5
2,4
3,4,6,9
4,7,9
1,4,5
2,3,4
Newcastle 2.20
Meshardal 16/1 victor/hills/skybet big drifter obvious fav hammered.
Did meshardal lsst time out hasn't won for a couple of seasons and looks on downgrade as 9 yr old based on recent form especially last few runs.
Last season althouh not winning was 3/3/5/4//5/4/4/5 off marks of 70,68,68,68,68,67,67,67 never beaten far and in some 0-70s and upto 0-85s last time it had cheek pieces on was the very good 5th at haydock in a 0-85 that was way back in august..Runs at newcastle tomorrow after some very poor runs but without the pieces on they return tomorrow,i'm sure ruth carr has something in mind for it but whther its here or in an even weaker race am not sure as tomorrow has a poor draw so could only be speculatuve,but off a mark of just 54 will have to follow for awhile with pieces on..I cannot get these ruth carr horses i've been following them for weeks,she's had winners and i've had non of them just find stable impossible to get rught even though i know her horses are in great form..whatever thiugh will give thus a few chances as can even drop out of these 0-65s into 0-60s if she chooses,could be setting up for a turf touch..Favourite reweyaat lighty raced only five runs and obvious chance dropping in grade..
Drifting like a barge,am not surprosed though just keep following it for a few ryns..
Given easy race and drawn away from the pace,still think its worth following as aw form noy as good as turf..
Eachway multipls
Southwell 4.15
Katheefa 7/2 hills 10/30 skybet/unibet
Again a ruth carr favourite so pronbably a health warnning had beeen running very in and out but lsst two runs here have been very good a runner up to marble bar then turning thre form round and winning by 4ls in a respectable time has gine up 6 pound for win and has never won off mark but should run well on that win,three pound c;aimer riding...Big brave bob joins marjorie fife stabe and still only has eight lifetime runs contesting 0-75s,it was 12/1 earlier but the prices have gone annoying only 11/2 now,has won on surface as 3yr old beating walk on water that ione now rated 90 and time was decent as well over this c/d,if she has it right after 6 month break would have great chance in this race with claimer taking off another five down to just 65..Maybe have a tiny bet on it but at these prices its not worth getting invoved too much.
5.20
Loose chippings 7/2 Thecornishbarron 13/2 skybet/365 11/2 victor
Both of these ran on the samme day loose chippings first run for ivan furtado another trainer with favs i find impossible to get right,was first run on surface over 1m6fs in a 0-65 with 7ls back to the third if it produces that form then obvious chance although has had 18 attempts but still interesting in this 0-55..The other thecornishbarron never looked a stayer previously but had going native 7ls behind it in third in a 0-65 last time out similar to loose chippings on that bare form an obvious place chance if repeats it.
Newcastle 5.30
Skyva 4/1 hills Brendan 15/2 hills/lads/ppower/sportsbook/corals
Brendan looked like an improving aw sprinter at this lower grade only three runs and a win here off 46 in a 0-65 beter race than tomorrows,
disappointed on turf next run then beaten over 6fs at this track,hasn't run for 192 days which maybe a negatuve but drops into a 0-55 over the 5fs again.Correy madden takes off 7 so just running off 42 obvious ew chance if fit,from goldie stable think you'd want to see some money for it after a break in such a weak race..The other skyva very short price fir horse that has only won one race but been running over 6fs here and respectable in 0-60s here just out of the frame,might be a ? with trip was a fair way behind brendan in that 5f race but was drwn away from the pace..A very poor race so its 6f form dropping into this grade looks some of the best form in the race only runs off 54 and ben robinson takes off another three lowest ever mark and has been seconfd here in the past off 63..
Windsor 6.0
Ladweb 7/1 365 13/2 skybet/hills/lads/corals/boyles
Ladweb hasn't won since 2016 mustv'e had some problems as only a handful of runs last two seasons,last season reapperaed at notts off 75 was second after a long break,then was third over this c/d again in a 0-75 has never run in a 0-70 before and has had a wind op..Has run well after a break last three seasons so off a mark of just 70 and first time in this class from decent draw in 4 if fit to do itself justice could easily run well into places..Betting will be interesting in this class if unbacked then that would be out of line with previous runs in better races,also look surprised was an improver last season,broke blood vessel on last run but previous to that 3rd in a 0-75 good ew chance on that form and just 11 runs on turf..
Another big drufter 11/1 victor/ppower/sportsbook/hills/skybet..Ladweb..
Thirsk 7.10
Dalton 11/2 hills/lads/365/corals.
Not much of a price in an ultra competitve handicap but dalton has looked an improving sprinter and has won first time out like last season,was
beaten a sh/hd over tomorrows c/d off 83 in a 0-95 went onto be 5th in Ayr bronze cup and last time out was 4th in a 0-105 at donny thirteen runs and three wins already could be more to come.Am not sure what ground will be and the draw can be erratic with big sprint fields but at least is near rail drawn 13..
Wolves 4.05
Bouclier 5/1 sportsbook/ppower 6/1 lads/sky/victor/corals
Old rogue bouclier has been a bookies horse for a couple of seasons,punters have convinced themselves trainers owners going for a touch overnight only for it to be a 20/1 shot after being a 4/1 shot after overnight prices have gone,is not one to trust but at least last time out ran in a race that showed a bit more promise.That was over tomorrows c/d in a 0-65 5th to grey destiny de la little engine in second and 6th takeonefortheteam have come out of that race and won,did look one paced to me staying on a little at finish,but drops even further in class tomorrow into a 0-60 and has had a wind op..I've managed to avoid the horse for all its losses as has always been a bit of a rogue with some ability,give it a token bet in this grade as james unett now trains and he's doing well for small local trainer this season..Certainly won't ever bet it again win or lose..
