Going to be guessing on ground unfortunately,i was expecting todays meetings to hae slow ground and they didn't impossible to know till they actually race so will have some small bets and multiples,if forecast grounds change then maybe will do something else..
Thirsk 2.0
Birdie bowers 15/8 365/skybet/victor/sportsbook
Birdie bowers third on 2yr old debut at beverley,the forms now looking at little suspect both the fitst and seconf have been beaten at odds on but they did have previous experience over birdie bowers time seemed ok probably not a 15/8 shot if there's something above average,but best form shown so far..The karl burke horse insania ran at beveley on debut as well draw wide if the newcomers aren't upto much then would look the danger with natural improvement..
Had saver on insania looked a two horse race got a bit of 5/1 so no damage done i wouldv'e out it in multiples but too many bets..the amonut of time my other pick wins the races recently is ridiculous..
5.25
Primo's comet 7/1 365/lads/skybet
Primo's comet still looks to be improving especially aftter musselburughh run in the scottish sprint cup finishing 6th beaten 5ls but missed break and gave field 7ls start then ebnded up switching to outside od field had no chance,would have probably hit the frame against hundred horses..
Tomorrow runs in an 0-85 off a pound lower mark after that run,thnik its one of those runners needs to be held up so will need some luck probably but still one to follow from goldie stable after that show last time out..Think this will go off nearer 7/2 maybe even shorter so a decent trade in there regardless of result.
4.15
Waarif 12/1 365 11/1 skybet / Firmament 16/1 skybet/victor.
A couple of speculatuve picks in the royal hunt cup,usually looking for track form in this race but can't see much o'meara has three in the race these are both his it may even be his other is the best but will just have a couple of token bets..Waarif is pretty exposed won off 92 and 95 last
season and was runner up in a 0-100 at york off a hundred,was beaten 6ls in the lincol the ground probably a little too quick preferab;y good ground would suit as some of the runners at the front of the market have better form like borodin but so far only on softer ground,borodinnmay simplty be better tha these but all firm on slower sio will have to leave at pruces.Firmament a veteran now,really you'd eed to see money for this as its last few rus last season were poor and hasn't won since august 2016,early last season was 6th in bunbury cup off 101 beaten 1 1/4ls and a third to poets society at york on those runs then would stand out in this race,but went onti the aw ans shown very little..An interesting runner if it were just to get anywhere near that form,could be a huge drufter as only stable will know,is also a sstrange entry as never run here in the past so could just be out for the run,but lowesr mark since that win bettig wiil be interesting..
Donny 5.15
Jawwaal 11/4 365 3/1 sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport / Naadirr 9/1 365 8/1 generally
Again not titally sure of the ground looks like being good ground,jawwaal made debut fir michael dods here over ths c/d in a 0-95 after being with giosden drops into a 0-90 after finishng third in that race still open to improvement the place chances at worst.Naadirr ws 8th in that race and usually runs well here and when spencers riding as tomorrow,plus runs of lowest ever mark is very in and out and prefers a little bit of juice but did win here off 92 in march 2018 lots of poor runs since but the run in jawwaals race was at least a bit more encouraging..
Goodwood 2.40
Whitefountainfairy 9/1 hills..
A 4yr old with still ony the eleven runs,was rated 97 after running second to billesdon brook over saturdays c/d at goodwood in 2017,then won a weak maiden debut run in 2018 only had four runs the last run in august was 7th over saturdays c/d beaten over 5 3/4ls in a hot handicap better than saturdays for horses rated upto 105 winner flaming spear..Didn't get a clear run in that race finishing under hand's n heels in that race,reappeared in march this year decent run back over 6fs in a 0-105 off 91 beaten just over 3ls,disappointed at chelmsford behind saturdays favourite qaroun went off 9/4 that day but on what's been shown so far these races going right handed has shown its best form.A three pound drop from last run and a five pound drop from the goodwood race,plus another three pound of with claimer becomes interesting,don't know what ground will be have watered showers around i doubt it will be quicker than gd especially on round track which should be ok..
Ground maybe a negatuve if its quick hopefully its goodish..
If i hadn't see the going report i wouldv'e saud heavy ground at goodwood,nearly everythung was beat a furlong out and it drifted from 8/1 to 20.5 in about 15 minutes a very strange race how so many horses could run so pootrly in that race is inexplicable,also see every other pick is drifting as well.the first one the dods horse was very strange as well another big drufter...and firmament hige drifter although hardly sirprosong after lay off..
Just checked the time as i feared the ground at goodwood riding quick,thats why those horses were treading water behind and whitfountainfairy drifted,anyother time they over water typical..
What a dire day,every single runner drufted like a barge and most of them out the back never involved the betting said everything even primos comet was 3/1 in the morning went off 6.6 never ever in the race,am sure there will be more races for it naadirr miised the break 20ls behind,whitefonurainfairy ground tok quick..And the omeara horses were tailed off as soon as hunt cup started,think i will have a week off till we get some decent formlines as the rrsults are impossible.
