Southwell 3.40
Fair alibi 10/1 365/hills
Got a few things marked off but either guessing on trips or surface and most of them inconsistent including this one Fair Alibi,also this an amatuer riders race at least patrick millman does ride winners has had a good season with 6/26 so running at 26% strike rate..The horse is far more inconsistent than the jockey,has run twice here before both runs over 5fs a second abd runner up to Sandridge lad in a 0-75 for 3yr olds in march,was rated 70 in that race,two decent runs a 4th in a class 4 on the turf and a 5th in a big foeld class 5 that run showing it stayed 6fs,then in june was 3rd in a 0-75 just touched off..Three runs since then all very poor hasn't run since 20th of september although the two runs at swell were after a similar break and sandridge lad has dropped in the ratings that ones runs here in 0-75s have all been good.
Tomorrows race is over the 6fs runs but first time ever in a class 6 0-65,strange thing about this horse is ater its win purely in the markets has been totally unfancied going off after the win
14/1,18/1,16/1,20/1,14/1,16/1,25/1,14/1 so maybe the horse is just a complete rogue and untrustworthy because shouldn't have been going off those prices every race..Will have a small bet as race doesn't look great..Letmestopyouthere on some of its back form at the track would look extremely well handicapped,especially with brodie hampson riding.
Smashed into 4/1 favourute,probably neded the run as wouldv'e expected it to lead een if it didn't stay the 6fs might be worth another bet next time out..
