Try some sort of thieving bets tomorrow
Windsor 4.40
Carolinre dale 10/11 generally 365 Mahale 5/1 365
The 2yr olds have looked very poor this year and some of the Ascot 2yr old races it was borne out,including the Queen Mary with Caroline dale 3rd at
100/1 wouldn't surprise me if newcomers start beating these group runners,this race maybe an example...but obvious for these sort of bets and will be interesting to see if form works out with so many rags close up in the Ascot races..The other Mahale was behind Sacred on debut second in the queen Mary on fast ground,had the fifth in that race Happy Romance behind,this is why the form looks so weak and Mahale flopped next time out at ascot although on slower ground..Drawn 1 tomorrow,interesting to see if it comes back to that form as long as the ground stays on the quick side..
8.15
Heaven Forfend 2/1 365
Heaven Forfend out of Frankel,ran sixth in the Albany last season,the horse directly behind it Year of the tiger is rated 110 and was third to Kameko on seasonal debut at Newcastle,Heaven Forbed flopped in following race that form isn't great with first and second only rated in mid 80s..Has a bit to prove now after long lay off,but possibly may not be a great race..difficult to tell with a couple only having one run a piece again it could be it needs genuine fast ground.
8.45
Hot summer 4/6 victor/ppower/sportsbook
Hot summer ran on seasonal debut on 28th of june,looking a little bit vulnerable but time of maiden was only 2ls slower than the class 2 handicap won by overwrite rated 85 and carried nine pound more,looks to be running around the 90 mark..Will take some beating, the newcomer of Kevin Ryans looks the danger with moore riding,wouldn't be the biggest surprise if won you could even add it into bets if non runner in another race.
Thirsk 7.0
Rogue Assasin 6/1 365 11/2 victor..
Magnetized was backed on debut last season,beat a 79 rated horse could be anything a 90+ would be a sensible prediction of that form plus improvement,Rogue Assasin won on debut this season there were four races on the Haydock card all over 7fs run in roughly the same time although Rouge Assasin was the only winner that was a newcomer..The race hasn't worked out but the times of comparitive races suggest it was ok,looks like the favourite will be the better horse but first time out,once again you could add in fav but would be a lot of bets..hopefully will be in places
7.30
Montather 4/6 365
Montather looks another 90 rated horse,just that his debut run is hard to weigh up a newcomer won the race,Montather gave seven pound to the second which had been runner up to a 94 rated horses last year,the formlines look ok just the run when he won on the aw looked better..Betting will be interesting with second favourite not had a run this season,but looks like it will have to run to 90 to win the race at least..
8.0
Rosa gold 10/30 hills 11/4 boyles (4 places) Double D's 6/1 hills 17/2 365 15/2 hills ppower
Rosas gold won a desperate race last time out,won easily and with five pound claim only three pound higher the positive would be if ground went quick,and was probably the reason it ran so well if that happens then justifible favourite but still a possibility could be on the slow side..A drying day would make all the difference come 8pm,Carriesmatic would have a great chance if grounds still on slow side runs off just 56 with Billy Garrity taking off five has 13% strike rate and drops in grade after two good runs..Will be watching the ground and times,the most interesting runner in the race is 41,000 guineas purchase out of Archipenko,just two runs down the field last season then on seasonal debut ran here over 6fs in a maiden dropped out,ran up behind horses and probably simply is not a sprinter anyway,and was passing horses under handriding..The winner of the race has won again,the second ran yesterday got squeezed out at haydock and still finished fourth in a 0-85..the fourth outrun its price yesterday at 40/1 only fifth of twelve but running on strongly in a 0-80 Dods other runner was fifth another that made a lot of ground one for the noteboook..Double D;s hard to weigh up,maybe just slow but wasn't ridden to get involved LTO,but will have to back it for a couple of runs it maybe in needs even further than a mile but a mark of just 54,they will want this winning to justify purchase price..
Double D's might be backed so worth a bet..
9.0
Nearly there 4/1 Kittys cove 6/1 365 11/2 lads/sky A teescomponent 6/1 generally
A bad race did kittys cove at catterick last week,looked a little unlucky stopped in run,stuck in the high 40s low 50s sometimes chucks in a stinker,
the otherday was a decent price as nothing looked backable,this race is similar but horses like Nearly There are quite consistent runs the same race always about even if it doesn't win..If they run to their best form then they would be hard to keep out of the frame..
Ateescomponent a 10 race maiden doesn't look reliable,ran a long wat behind Nearly There at Ponte,it maybe the horse wants faster ground so like the runner from the same card at leicester Rosa Gold runs in the 8pm might be relying on ground drying out,had reiable yardstick Becky Sharpe behind in third at leicester..They all look very similar formwise and all obvious place chances.
