Southwell 12.50
Silver Nemo 8/1 365/generally 14/1 sportsbook/ppower
An interesting little race,wouldn't like to discount anything,Swinton Noon so far the only runner guaranteed to get trip on this track has won over a mile here ,the fav switches to fibresand progressive,Woke Media is off a nothing mark not done much but out of Kentucky Derby winner Orb so switching to surface could be a big improver,the Johnson horse got behind when it ran against Swinton Noon..
I was hoping to see Silver Nemo in a race where it was an ew bet and bigger prices,i don't know what its best trip is likely to be or surface,ran ok here when 3rd over 5fs a weak looking 0-65 but that race was 1.19 seconds quicker than the 0-60 for older horses,Silver Nemo then stepped up in trip running over 6fs at Wolves..That race was a 0-70 got behind but looked like it was staying on then stopped in run and slightly eased finishing 7th possibility it was the 4th best horse in the race,those last two runs staying on has enabled it too be now dropped four pound to 54..It may not like the 7fs and not sure which surface suits best,the sire is desperate Markaz just 2/59 on the aw and strangely no runners on the surface..a decent top class sprinter but a sire with very poor stats..The only positive i can see for this surface is that the grandsire Dark Angel is 17% on surface,although it could turn out Silver Nemo is a 6f horse not a 7f horse,will have a small bet on it..Won't be crossing it off as off this mark looks like it will win a race and maybe at a bigger price,just too many ? in tomorrows race to have a great deal of confidence and could be running against horses well in.Plenty of opprtunities to run in lower class races off current marks..
With all books going at least 8/1 then maybe a nice little trade,plenty of 9s as well can see it going off 5/1-11/2 tops.
Looked like it was going to win,then switched and eased at finish the track is so different at the moment surface is desperate out and out stayers needed there with colder weather,it might stay 7fs if the track was running atandard today the race was slow by 6 seconds usually you'd expect that race to be 3 or 4 seconds quicker..Same in the third race that shouldv'e been a tight handicap but the horses that have run decent times there were beaten out of sight,they hated it..
