Saturday some early prices up,low grade races so minimum stakes although i think the two last time out winners look sure to get backed even though favs..
Lingfield 2.0
Dutugamunu 9/2 hills/365
Dutugamunu had only its fifth run over this c/d at lingfield was a lower grade race a 0-58 the horse looks huge looks more like a swell type sire stats at lingfield are not great just 1/15 although on poly 10/66 so 15% on surfacer,the time was decent in the race it won so it may have been the pace that allowed it get involved,looked open to more imprivement and with the first time TP for the win on again..Doesn't look anything like a lingfield horse to me,and it maybe better at swell sire stats there 2/8,think there's more races to be won with it just hope there's plenty of pace in the race..
Deb's delight has been an eyecatcher in most runs this season best form at Newcastle in class 5s staying on well did run here in this class and on this sharper track again think she needs the pace to collapse but another with just nine runs must have a decent ew chance at least 8/1 hills maybe bigger if fav gets bet..I can also see Roman Spinner running well,would be fav if at its best,shown very little lately but some glimpses of form was placed on the turf in 0-70s back in the summer,no wins on the turf but 5/29 on the aw last three wins have all come over a mile,thirteen months ago last win but that was a 0-85 recent runs on the aw midfield in better races,first run in a class 6 since november 2017 winning off 65 off 64 saturday..Wouldn't discount in this race currently 12/1 hills may get slightly bigger if fav gets backed.,frustrating thing about these runners they all need some pace to aim at and there does appear to be a lack of it..
2.35
Apollinaris 9/2 hills/betfred 5/1 365 Porto Ferro 25/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor
Another last time out c/d winner,again won a weaker race than this last time out but was dropped out from a low draw gave the field at least 10ls and then stayed on running wide,just like the other pick lightky raced that was sixth ever run and again looks like one of those that may need a decent pace to aim at..Will probably get well backed just because of stable form,although the two horses i;ve backed from the stable recentky were nearr last than first,hopefully stable not gig out of form..got a four pound rise for that win these horses in this grade rarely back up a win with another but at least looks open to some improvement.
I put up Port Ferro last time out over 6fs,he;s only ever won over that trip and just 4/60 but three races back they put first time TP on,the next three runs was 3/4/5 the first two over 7fs one over tomorrows c/d third behind Cape Greco in a decent time,then fourth at kempton staying on again,the third confrerie won yesterday..Then i put him up over 6fs here,was never in the race outpaced till the last 100 yards when coming back on the bridle so worth a speculatuve bet again with that TP on even though never won over the trip,he's 20/1 he drifted like a barge last time out may well do again..If he can just run to that c/d run he would have a decent ew chance..
Kempton 4.15
Global Acclaim 7/4 365 6/4 generally
Global Acclaim won over 6fs here on December 2nd,won in 1m12.84 nothing outstanding but for first run a respectable time probably a mid 80s horse based on that run and maybe open to some improvement..The question mark is probably the 7fs,will probably get overbet so a decent trade in there,unless there's something decent in here,could well be with little form to go on if there isn't then this will go off odds on..
