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Friday Redcar 4.25

Estad 6/1 hills

Hopefully the ground will be pretty quick at Redcar but no guarantee with overwatering at the track,Estad has only had four runs shown nothing till last time out on gd/gdfm ground over a mile at Ripon...Running 5th of 9 behind the progressive Ariel now rated 81 had no chance of beating the winner,got stopped in run a few times and at finish just eased,hard to tell if it wouldv'e picked up greatly but wouldv'e been second and ended up being infront of one of todats winners Havana Party that won a 0-70 today and the second from the Ripon race was third Distinction so the form has worked out even though both races looked fairly weak..Fridays race is a 0-65 the two obvious ones are Camerily Joe and Millions they were second and third here in a 16 runner race form looks solid and time..will take a risk though and go for the O'meara horse ridden by Shane Gray they had a double today...Am not even sure the drop to 7fs will suit Estad looking at the Ripon race over a mile,but the trend here has been low to middle draws and the two from the Redcar form were drawn low that day, friday they are drawn 12 and 14..Maybe worth having a a saver on Lilikoi thats drawn 5 alongside Estad in 6,thats also only had four runs heads the weights and was 3rd here in a 17 runner maiden..Looking at the times that day,it ran 1 1/2ls quicker than the 0-70 handicap but carried alot less weight..It has an opening mark of 66 it looks about right but was quicker than that handicap...Wouldn't be overly confident because both runners are dropped in trip from a mile but at least unexposed in this grade and hopefully the highs will be at a disadvantage..

6/1 365

<blockquote data-quote="gigilo" data-source="post: 2350076" data-attributes="member: 65901">Friday Redcar 4.25Estad 6/1 hillsHopefully the ground will be pretty quick at Redcar but no guarantee with overwatering at the track,Estad has only had four runs shown nothing till last time out on gd/gdfm ground over a mile at Ripon...Running 5th of 9 behind the progressive Ariel now rated 81 had no chance of beating the winner,got stopped in run a few times and at finish just eased,hard to tell if it wouldv&#039;e picked up greatly but wouldv&#039;e been second and ended up being infront of one of todats winners Havana Party that won a 0-70 today and the second from the Ripon race was third Distinction so the form has worked out even though both races looked fairly weak..Fridays race is a 0-65 the two obvious ones are Camerily Joe and Millions they were second and third here in a 16 runner race form looks solid and time..will take a risk though and go for the O&#039;meara horse ridden by Shane Gray they had a double today...Am not even sure the drop to 7fs will suit Estad looking at the Ripon race over a mile,but the trend here has been low to middle draws and the two from the Redcar form were drawn low that day, friday they are drawn 12 and 14..Maybe worth having a a saver on Lilikoi thats drawn 5 alongside Estad in 6,thats also only had four runs heads the weights and was 3rd here in a 17 runner maiden..Looking at the times that day,it ran 1 1/2ls quicker than the 0-70 handicap but carried alot less weight..It has an opening mark of 66 it looks about right but was quicker than that handicap...Wouldn&#039;t be overly confident because both runners are dropped in trip from a mile but at least unexposed in this grade and hopefully the highs will be at a disadvantage..6/1 365</blockquote>

[QUOTE="gigilo, post: 2350076, member: 65901"] Friday Redcar 4.25 [B]Estad 6/1 hills[/B] Hopefully the ground will be pretty quick at Redcar but no guarantee with overwatering at the track,Estad has only had four runs shown nothing till last time out on gd/gdfm ground over a mile at Ripon...Running 5th of 9 behind the progressive Ariel now rated 81 had no chance of beating the winner,got stopped in run a few times and at finish just eased,hard to tell if it wouldv'e picked up greatly but wouldv'e been second and ended up being infront of one of todats winners Havana Party that won a 0-70 today and the second from the Ripon race was third Distinction so the form has worked out even though both races looked fairly weak..Fridays race is a 0-65 the two obvious ones are Camerily Joe and Millions they were second and third here in a 16 runner race form looks solid and time..will take a risk though and go for the O'meara horse ridden by Shane Gray they had a double today...Am not even sure the drop to 7fs will suit Estad looking at the Ripon race over a mile,but the trend here has been low to middle draws and the two from the Redcar form were drawn low that day, friday they are drawn 12 and 14..Maybe worth having a a saver on Lilikoi thats drawn 5 alongside Estad in 6,thats also only had four runs heads the weights and was 3rd here in a 17 runner maiden..Looking at the times that day,it ran 1 1/2ls quicker than the 0-70 handicap but carried alot less weight..It has an opening mark of 66 it looks about right but was quicker than that handicap...Wouldn't be overly confident because both runners are dropped in trip from a mile but at least unexposed in this grade and hopefully the highs will be at a disadvantage.. [B]6/1 365[/B] [/QUOTE]

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