These are more suspect than todays as Thirsk was gd/sft good in places i'm hoping its dried to at least good otherwise these bets will be dead,similarky Goodwood watering going on and Hamilton smaller stakes as i suspect at least one of these tracks will be riding slower..
Ffos las 2.30
Luxy Lou 7/1 888sport/hills/sky/victor 13/2 generally
Overwatered ground at Ffos Las today,anyone that bet fast ground hirses had no chance a complete farce,luckily my picks as i said in wrute ups looked preferable for some cut,9/10 it goes against you how they got the griund that slow and its happening at every meeting they water.
I and Luxy Lou marked off a couple of days ago,the grounds been ruined i definitely wouldn't have done it today at Ffos las knowingly and tomorrow it may still be riding too slow but halved my syakes for tomorrows bets on three tracks where the going won't be known..
If it drys out to something like good or preferably faster,that sees highly unlikely now then would look a decent ew bet,an 11 runner maiden but non of its runs have been terrible this season 3/5/5/2/4/6 started on a mark of 70 now dropped to 61 and into a 0-60..Its last run was here over this c/d when 6th of 10 didn't get a clear run but that was a 0-65 Right Action and Quarantni have come out of that race and won since as well.
Think it's only a matter of time before thos one wins a 0-60,it als has the negative of the 10 draw as well but picked these out days ago so have to do them now..
Races slow by 5-6 seconds desperate ground no chance,just running on the wrong ground its as slow as yesterday absolutely ridiculous,same at Thirsk slow ground even complete guessing game....
Goodwood 4.53
Epsom Faithful 4/1 generally skybet 4 places Amanthus 12/1 ppower/sportsbook 11/1 skybet 4 places
Epsom Faithful 11 lofetime runs one win over c/d,it probably needs very quic ground to be at its best a 3rd in a 0-80 last seaso at Windsor is its best ever piece of form,Goodwoods been watering just hope its gd/fm and not good ground as although its run ok on it,just looking at its 3rd this season at lingfield in a weak 0-70,that was on slow good ground and didn't like that ground..The angle on tis race would be the fast ground for it as lots of the runners want goid ground,if that happens the race is wide open..hopefully quick by racetime/
Amantus a 4yr old also with just 12 lifetime runs,a win at Windsor over 6fs and this seaso at a win at Sailsbury off 66 in a 0-70 followed that up with a decent 2nd to the progressive Under Curfew here over c/d this looks a weaker race so looks overpruced on that one run here,but last three runs have been poor although two of the one on the aw and another on softer ground you could excuse..Runs off a pound lower mark than the previous goodwood run,on a going day an obvious ew bet..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!And Amanthus got 3rd,a great day again!!Nice to see some genuine fast ground at last..
7.23
Liberty Bay 4/1 hills/sky/888sport 7/2 365
A 5f race at Goodwood Libert Bay 14 runs just 6 on the turf one win,that was at Newmarket off 70 in June two runs in better class 4 races at Donny and Ascot stand out,but those runs were on very fast ground those twi races one under standard and one just outside..If it can get something like that ground then the one to beat,unlikey with watering but anything like gd/gdfm then obvious place chances,a lot in here may prefer slower ground,so it will be the difference betwen good or gd/fm of increasing chances..
Thirsk 3.50
Northbound 15/2 hills 5/1 generally skybet 4 places
Tahonta is mildly interesting at 33/1 hills Red Jazz is quite a poor sire is 1/43 over a mile and really the runners only do well on gd/fm griund wich looks unlikey tomorrow,but hinted at ability in a Beverley race that was better than this,but that was fast ground maybe a token bet in a weakish race..Northbound switched to Julie Camacho from Hugo Palmer was rated 78 in May,has only ever won 1/11 over 5fs its last two runs over 7fs have been here 3/16 in a 0-70 then 3rd again in a 0-75 3yr old handicap again staying on..good or faster ground would suit running off lowest ever mark of 64.I thought the angle would be there if it went very quick as Northbounds penultimate run here was on fast griund and that would hinder some of these,unfortunayely that doesn't look like happening although won't realy know till see some times of ear;ier race..s
Got shafted on the ground but worked out well,Thahonda got 3rd and got 18/1 skybet 4 places and Northbound got 4th skybet so will settle for that little touch even though the obvious soft ground horses were 1,2..That's two horses today already that are for the notebook Luxy Lou and Northbound.Worked out well...
4.20
Lord P 7/4 365 other books 4&5 places for ew multples Lucky Beggar 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 4 places skybet 5 places
Lord P won on second ever run on turf over 6fs in a fast time at Carlisle winning a 0-70,twelve pound high here in this 0-65 am pinning hopes on the ground drying out by 4.20 as it looks one to follow,Royal Prospect was 4ls behind and that won today at Carlisle to frank the form and the second fav Thread Count looks well in but won on soft ground last time out so am hoping ground will go against that one..Lucky Beggar veteran now,quite consistent in low grade races 11yr old and won here in a 0-65 earlier in the season off 48,its only other 6f race was at Donny this season when seconf to Hail Caeser on fast griund..Has ew chances again as nearky all its runs this season has been relatively close up even if not placing..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Best bet of the day wins despite the ground being verging on gd/sft hopefully will keep his mark down to keep following..
