Ayr 3.05 Saturday
Rishes Baar 16/1 hills 14/1 skybet 5 places
A nightmare group 3 over 6fs at Ayr most are so lightly raced Head Mistrss has won 2/2 heads the market at 3/1 only won over 5fs so far last time out the 5f race it won was only .49 slower than the older aged handicap for horses rated upto 100 at the Currgah might be the one to beat with normal improvement..Rishes Baar trained by David O'meara out of decent sire El Babeur 16% on turf 20% on gd/fm but ok stats on slower going,has only had one run beating Vertiginous at Haydock on fast grund race was slow by .04 there was a 0-100 5f older handicap on the card which was fast by .73 with normak improvement i'd expect Rishes Baar to match that time on second run with similar conditions..Rarely when times look good at Haydock do they work out,but it did beat vertiginous,that horse has disappointed again since on the aw but had run 4th and 5th in Group 2s this season so the time and the form looks pretty good fir a debut run..If it bombs out completely could be a nice one fir the future,haven't got a clue what the draw will be either it's drawn 13 of 15 so obviously a bias towars the stands side would be watching out fir in sprints..
3.20 Silver Cup
Soldiers Minute 25/1 boyles
I took 33/1 yesterday,i was hoping it mat drift a little to 40/1 but pruces have crashed,there's not many reasins to bet Soldiers Minute bar trainers horses running well and handicap mark,i remember this winning off the same mark of 92 back in May 2019 by 3ls destroying a 0-105 field..thought it was going to go on to be a group horse..Unbelievably has only won one other race since and that was on the aw off 98 in November 2020,has still run decent races places off 98,99,and was 4th here in the Gold Cup last season off 98..Now drops into the Silver Cup has no recent form or anything this season to offer,hopefully they have got the horse right for the day and big ew chances if so,on its last three runs you probably would want bigger prces but both its runs here have been in the Gold Cup and been 5th and 4th and as said that mark of 92 with trainer in form..
Just an ew thieving multiple for interest on shorties,not sure of goings at nebury amd newarket get the feelig they could go back to gd/gdfm by tomorrow afternoon,definitely won't be gd/sft as forecast anyway,done those two speculative bets and just this for now might do someting else yet..No writeups on these as pretty self explanatory.
Ayr 1.55
Juan Elcano 11/8
Newmarket 3.15
Live Your Dream 11/4
Newbury 4.35
Koy Koy 7/4
Ayr 5.20
Dark Jedi 5/2
