Brighton 4.30
Dawn View 15/2 365 8/1 skybet/ ppower/sportsbook/victor/888sport/betfred/boyles/betway 4 places
Dawn View likes Brighton very conststent round here over a mile upto 1m2fs,what it wants to show its best is fast ground at the moment all the gping reports are way pit,today notts gd/sft good miles away its soft ground birdering on heavy there,tracks simply aren't drying out..Brighton currently says gd/fm good in places,if they dpn't water or get any rain then hopefully the ground will be quick..Dawn View was second to the progressive Zulu Girl here over a mile when the race went under standard by a second,and the third Finvarra went on to win twice then a fourth at Sandown in a 0-70 followed up by a fifth to Zulu Girl over a mile here agai in a 0-80..Then came back to run over c/d here and 4/5 dead ground and then last time out where i oput the winner Grandstand up with Dawn View tried to make all again dead grounfd and was still staying on in a 0-60..
The horses heading the market have very similar form on ground that Dawn View doesn't like dead ground,if it does ride quick then might be a slight negative towards them and Dawn View would look a decent ew chance,won't really know till early races have been run but will have a small bet..I have the feeling this going report will be wrong and it will be slower but will take the chance..Could well be a nice trade if grounds quick i could see this going off half the price around 4/1,so might be able to make a few quid that way,just hoping fir fatground.
Will try some small multiples crap days racing,similar to Dawn View reasoning hoping on fast ground at Brighton for the picks here in multiples as well..
2.45
Botanist 13/8 generally 365 Safra 5/2 generally 11/4 888sport
Safra 2nd at Epsom in a nursery off 79,that nursery was quicker than the 0-80 for older horses on the card so looks strong form and Botanist was a place infront of yesterdays easy winner Neptunian at Newbury that won at Newcastle,so potentially a nice maiden at Brighton.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!4.08 Safar crazy price differential just did that win and place and a reverse with fav,lovely touch..
5.40
Glamorous Breeze 11/4 hills
Glamorous Breeze will need fast ground and stay an extra 1/2 furlong,has never won over 6fs 2nd to the improving Raasel in a 0-85 that won again today,must be the one to beat as long as conditions suit..
Chelmsford 6.0
Tallard Royal 4/5 365
Another first time out maiden winner over a mile at Kempton,the fastest race on the card although the ? is will the surface suit as well as Kempton was riding slow the obvious one that's open to improvement otherwise.
Will just add a couple of token ews in the first at Brighton...
Brighton 2.20
Essaka 22/1 sky 4 places 22/1 generally 25/1 365 Cappananty Con 20/1 generally sky 4 places
Two dominating at the head of the market,it looks likely one of them will win as improving just slight ? as of yet no turf form,Essaka rarely wins now is a c/d winner but was at least 3rd here last time out over 5 1/2fs,hasn't won since June 2019 with 4 places on offer then a small ew bet..
Cappananty Con has only ever won 1/24 on turf so an even more unlikely winner but was second in that 0-65 that Essaka was third in,and her other run here in August was third in a 0-60 three horses have come out of that weak looking race and won since..Would be a major shock if she won but not oif she hit the frame so just worth a small ew..with 4 places..Really just trying to steal some placemoney in multiples..
Got 50s Essaka 4th they were 4th and 5th worked out as i expected a pity they couldn't have both placed just too far behind. backed them both for 4 places as well was worh having ago..annoyingly looks the grounds slow as well how they have that gd/fm race was slow by 2.6 seconds winners wins by over 6ls when essaka ran there it was only around slow by 1.6 seconds over the same c/d on same ground ..Going reports are total garbage,dampens mu y enthusiasm on Dawn View after that that times suggesting nearer to gd/gdsft
