Some gueses tomorrow at Ripon,a few Easterby horses he had a winner today although i hate betting them as i never get them right just small stakes and ew multiples,the grounds going to be desperate so in the sprints they might split..
Ripon 1.40
Bay Breeze 9/1 generally skybet 4 places Jilly Cooper 17/2 skybet 4 places
These two are more exposed than plenty of other runners in the race,so may simply not be good enough anyway but they did have some good form last season Jilly Cooper made her debut in the Hilary Needler and was beaten 4 1/2ls in 4th,winners now rated 82 runner up a 100..Did win a weak maiden after that run but other runs were quite poor no progression,the one standout run was at Catterick over 7fs when 3rd to Nuance in a 0-95 beaten 1 1/2ls off 76..The winner of that race has won twice since in Qatar,has never run on this ground before but out of Lope De Vega 14% strike rate on heavy so ground should be ok,on that form decent ew chances if fit is drawn 8/11 so will stay stands side,really would want to see money for both of these coming from the Johnson stable in this 0-75..
The other from the Easterby stable had plenty of respectable form last season,the ground going to be soft to heavy i suspect David Allan will go far side,it's only a small field so will concede distance at the start but it's usually at least as good farside when soft and sometimes can be a big advantage..Bay Breeze is very exposed has had 10 runs already going into these 3yr old handicaps,the sire Buratino is very poor as well but ran in sme decent handiocaps last season on softer ground was 3rd in a 0-95 at York beaten 3 1/2ls over 5 1/2fs was out of the handicap by 3 pounds as well then came only 5th of 6 at Nottingham in a 0-85 but still ran ok..Looks well handicapped on last seasons form running off just 67 if fit.
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2.15
Wades Magic 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 12/1 skybet 4 places 8/1 888sport 365 Manigordo 14/1 365 12/1 generally skybet 4 places
These are both Easterby horses and are more speculative than the 3yr old handicap because neither of them has soft ground,looking at Manigordo it looks like stable have avoided this ground upto the very last race of its 4yr old season last race it ran..Manigord has plenty of form in class 2s/3s and 4s was actually 5th here in the Great St Winifred off 85 but that was on fast griund,that day was the winner on the farside..was also 4th of 8 here in a 0-105 staying on on good ground,then last race of the season in in tps1 it ran in a weaker race on soft ground at Haydock beaten 2ls in a 0-95...That's the only piece of soft ground form it has and went off 33/1 so nothig was expected may just hate this ground,but worth a small bet to find out drawn 10 against the rail,there is slightly more hope as Kittens Joy the sire has a 20% strike rate on soft ground and Manigordo is off lowest ever mark in a 0-80..
Wades Magic the other Easterby runner improved last season,has had loads of racing looking thoroughly exposed has won on soft and heavy ground but in much weaker races,was 3rd in a 0-85 last race of the season at Catterick off 65,tomorrow now off 70 this ones drawn 3 so the previous race wil tell you if there's an advantage or not..David Allan rides Golden Apollo so he has three in here,the betting and draw will sureky be the clues..Shark Two One shown nothing recently but the only heavy ground winner in the race..and Fortamour won this race last year offthe same mark,not a lot of soft ground form but probably the obvious one in the race..
The obvious one wins as i said the obvious one Fortamour and Shark Two One was second,i had a little forecast on the pair,got a few quid back,Wades Magic went out to 40s on betfair,they certainly knew that was going to run dire,these two certainly hate the ground ad of course Golden Apollo filled third place..
4.30
Challet 7/2 365 generally Empirestateofmind 11/4 365 5/2 generally
Empire State Of Mind was 3rd in a 0-95 at Redcar last season,then reappeared in the Spring Mile 3rd but was a very poor race,this is weaker on paper and looks obvious to hit the frame with sire decent on soft and heavy ground Ryan Sexton takes off 3 as well so down to 80..
Challet c/d winner more exosed ran poorly on seasonal debut and was behind Wizard D'amour in sae race tomorrow,last season its best run came at York 3rd in a 0-100 on soft ground to Shelir,it may depend how desperate the griound is but is out of Clodovil so might be ok but not guaranteed,but has some of the best form..
Newmarket 4.45
Twilight Calls 3/1 hills generally skybet 4 places
Twilight calls has plenty of ability could still be well handiocapped but has thrown in some poor runs and invariably gets overbet,won a 0-90 here over 5fs last season as a 3yr old easily,then came 6th in a 0-105 at York ran well even though favourite,the 5fs looked its trip last season and it drops back to that trip again..Night On Earth and Hans Solo Berger look obvious alternatives..
