Donny 3.37
Safran 7/1 generally 5 places 15/2 888sport
Suspect Safran may drift,can't really say this is value now i put him up at Thirsk at 12/1 was a huge rick and it went off 7/2 fav,ran it's worst ever race even though only beaten 2 1/2ls but was leading with 1./2 furlong to go and stopped as if shot..That was only a class 5 0-70 looked the perfect race for it,there could be a few excuses ground looked slow race was slow by 4 seconds,its never run well on slow ground ideally good or faster,it also led the race when more often than not it misses the break or off the pace and that's when it's run all its decent races...Also there appears to be a trend most of its really good form has been at York/Ripon in far better races,so i'm not sure this sort of track will suit anyway no form on straight tracks,this is a 0-75 and ridiculously competitve i have 7 marked off..Am not going to cross this off yet even if disappoints tomorrow as i want to bet it at York/Ripon is plumetting down the weights just off 70 now,it gave the field a 10l start at York in a 0-85 and was beaten 3 3/4ls in 6th at some point it has to win a race but don't want it to become a cliff horse as hasn't win since January 2021..Hopefully the ground won't be overwatered at Donny as they just won't let these meetings have fast ground,was going to back another couple but at the moment going to leave it as just have too many marked of..and hoping Danny Tudhope doesn't do the front running tactics again,a very strange ride last time out..
Sweated uo befure the race not given a hard time,won't be betting it again unless it runs at York/Ripon.Now again i have just checked the time of todays race slow by 3.11 seconds,they said it was gd/fm, last week races like this were near standard at Donny,again this just looks like overwatering the ground cannot possibly be gd/fm with that finishing time which again wouldv'e been a huge negative to Safarn,completely farcical,the srcond race slow by 4.11 seconds over the same distance..They sre making racing impossible to have a bet.Third race over a mile slow by over 5 seconds..
4.32
Raydoun 5/1 365 skybet 4 places 10/30 Golden Duke 13/2 365 skybet 4 places 5/1
I put Rayfdoun on my to follows back in October eyecatcher at Newcastle,went onto win a little race there over 6fs then got switced to the turf
ran a terrible race here and that could be the negative,just never went the pace in what wasn't a great race hoping it was just a one off..It's last two runs have been eyecatchers,so am also hoping he's not one of those horses that just keeps missing the break and then looks unlucky in running,thats happened the last twice at Haydock in a 0-75 and at Ripon last time out in a 0-75 now in a 0-70 tomorrow although most of the runners in here are unexposed,Jonny Peate takes off 5 so down to 63 below that winning mark at newcastle..I probably will avoid the horse if it does the same thng again,the other Golden Duke was second in the race Raydoun was 4th in at Ripon also came from off the pace and had to come wide while the 1,2 were up with the pace throughout..If they transfer that run to this race then obvious place chances at worst,although the latter i might keep in notebook for ripon as that ones run two really good races there and miht have a preferece for the track..
