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Newcastle Saturday

1.50

Annaf 9/2 ppower/sportsbook. 

A 0-100 handicap on the aw Annaf didn't have its first run till january 6th this year as a 4yr old winning a weak maiden on debut over this c/d,then thrown into an aw finals day qualifier at Kempton beaten 2 1/2ls by 95 rated Kaboo,then won a weak maiden here over 5fs..Then got put in the 3yr old champioships race here over 6fs had a poor draw in 1 and gave the field 6-7ls,eventually running on to be 4th to the progressive El Caballo and Tiger Flows was beaten that 4ls but hey are rated 112 and 107 although beaten easily at Ascot last week in a group 1,but those horses are still lightly raced themselves and may imprive yet again..Annafs been given a mark of 95 yet been beaten easily in a Newmarket handicap already,then last time out 5th in a 0-105 at York although fir the grade looked a weak race..the main positive was the time it ran here behind El Caballo and Tiber King,that race was run in 1m10.62 compared to 1m11.06 in the earlier conditions race wouldv'e been 4th in that race and beaten horses 10 pound superior some were higher..Still open to improvement on this surface could be well handicapped specifically here,hopefully a half decent draw and runs to that form..

2.25

Spycatcher 5/1 corals 

Spycatcher was 3rd in the conditons race that preceded the 3yr old race that Annaf ran in,and wouldv'e been beaten 2 1/2ls by the 3yr old pair if it had run in that correspoding race,he was drawn 13 and missed the break abd eventually finished on the wide oiutside and just touched off while the others all had high draws and decent positions up with or just off the pace..Strictly on that form has a bit to find with saturdays progressive fav Sense Of Duty 4ls a line through Edraak and Benefit, and that one beat Flotus LTO and that was 3rd to perfect Power in a group 1 at Ascot last week so its form looks rock solid,so if that one takes to the surface or has a far better draw then would be the one to beat as still progressing..Very difficult to know if Spycatcher could have done that much better of it had broke on terms seems unlikely,but then went to York and was 2nd in the Clipper Logistics to Highfield Princess a decent group 2 run in a very fast time,Highfield Princess ran well at Ascot finishing 6th only beaten 1 1/4ls in the Jubilee Stakes..Spycatcher doesn't look great value at 5/1 with other higher rated horses in the race and has had another hard race over 7fs at Haydock not running well since,but has looked good on his aw runs..Only worth a small bet,it may even drift yet depending on draw etc..the fav looks the one to beat if running,it will be interesting to see if it runs as Haggas is always the man to beat on aw placings although the sire is just at 7% on Tapeta..£45k up for grabs in a race if it was turf then would probaly be shorter..