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Redcar Tuesday


2.53


Lord Sams Castle 16/1 365 14/1 generally 



Lord Sam's Castle made its debut at Hamilton in June over 6fs on good ground,finished 2nd and in a decent time .67 slower than the older horse handicap for horses rated upto probably with another run and open ti improvement i would expect that to be the equivalent of somewhere in the mid 80s..The 3rd 2 1/2ls behind it that day already had previous experience,went onto finish 2nd to the decent looking Marshman and then beat Redcars 2nd fav in tuesdays race Prince Nabeel 5/1 in a 0-80 nursery off a mark of 76 and recent 3rd beaten a nk in a 0-85,but after that Lords Sams Castle something has obviously happened  disappinting 8th in a maiden at Ayr then gelded then a very poor run in a 7f maiden in a first time visor..It may just simply have had one decent run in it,the prices that it's gone off the last twice and gelded and visor obviously tell the story,it's been put in here off 74 it's a leap of faith now the horse retains that ability o debut run if it did it would be fav to win this race..Betting will surely reflect its chances am not a huge fan of Andrew Mullen he is a job jockey but rides numerous non triers,am going to have to do it and probably will have to keep backing it as i know its really well handicapped on that Hamilton run..This may never run a decent race again you get horses like this every season that you follow and they simply never reproduce it and you end up seeing it in sellers ,probably will give it three chances then stop,as it would be sickening abandoning it after one race..


5 + 3 = ?
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