Debut Handicap, Down in Class, Up in Distance

barjon

barjon

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I mentioned that I was going to try and be a bit more disciplined in keeping track of these. I’m not a system man, but the combination brought in some good winners last season. There’s one today:

Sea Squared 5:00 Goodwood. The 12/1 early price yesterday didn’t last long and became 6/1 and now 9/2.
 
True Legend Monday 5:35 Newcastle. Mark Prescott is a well-known exponent of this tactic so I expect price will be skinny
 
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barjon said:
True Legend Monday 5:35 Newcastle. Mark Prescott is a well-known exponent of this tactic so I expect price will be skinny
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Won without any trouble. 2/1 early price was gone in a flash last night and finished up ev SP. I’ll record turf and AW separately.

Turf Balance: - 1 AW Balance: + 1
 
Sea in the Dark 8:10 Thirsk
Yorkshire Thursday 1:50 Southwell
Royal Dream Thursday 4:40 Southwell
Eccles Thursday 4:40 Southwell
Dawn Mission 4:40 Southwell

I’ll include these for sake of completeness even though there are three in one race and all are only up in distance by a furlong.
 
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Sea in the Dark 8:10 Thirsk. 2nd 14/1
Yorkshire Thursday 1:50 Southwell 2nd 11/8
Royal Dream Thursday 4:40 Southwell 4th 33/1 (from 10/1)
Eccles Thursday 4:40 Southwell 7th 18/1
Dawn Mission 4:40 Southwell 10th 50/1 (from 10/1)

Pretty much as expected, but can’t cherry pick!!

Turf Balance: - 2 AW Balance: - 3
 
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barjon said:
Rubbish 7th/9

Tomorrow

American Oak 5:20 Beverley - this one more likely, I think. Up to 1m4f from 1m
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Market called it, drifting from 8/1 to 12/1sp (18/1 at one stage). The early evens winner isn’t going to get us very far if these don’t pick up!

Forgot to add the last loser to the balance, corrected now:

Turf Balance: - 4 AW Balance: - 3
 
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No :mad: . Missed it altogether (checked and no more I can see I’ve missed). Good one for the thread, though, which needed a boost and it shows you’ve got to wade through a lot of chaff for the odd grain of wheat. Thx for bringing to attention. I’ve added it to the score.

Turf Balance: + 21 AW Balance: - 3

One tomorrow:

Star 5:40 Redcar
 
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Rubbish from Star 8th/9. The market called it, though, from 7/1 overnight early price he reached 20/1 today and started at 18/1. Still, counts as another loser.

Turf Balance: + 20 AW Balance: - 3


Three in the same race tomorrow, which probably rules it out for betting purposes. Have to include them for completion, I suppose.

5:15 Wolverhampton

Little Tiger
Petite Sioux
Clementyne
 
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barjon said:
Rubbish from Star 8th/9. The market called it, though, from 7/1 overnight early price he reached 20/1 today and started at 18/1. Still, counts as another loser.

Turf Balance: + 20 AW Balance: - 3


Three in the same race tomorrow, which probably rules it out for betting purposes. Have to include them for completion, I suppose.

5:15 Wolverhampton

Little Tiger
Petite Sioux
Clementyne
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None featured

Turf Balance: + 20 AW Balance: - 6
 
Didn’t feature.

Turf Balance: + 20 AW Balance: - 7

Tomorrow:

Tremendous Times 5:30 Haydock
Different Tone 8:25 Pontefract
Ragosina 8:25 Pontefract


Two in the same race again, but got to count them fo4 the stats.
 
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barjon said:
Didn’t feature.

Turf Balance: + 20 AW Balance: - 7

Tomorrow:

Tremendous Times 5:30 Haydock
Different Tone 8:25 Pontefract
Ragosina 8:25 Pontefract


Two in the same race again, but got to count them fo4 the stats.
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Tremendous Times 2nd 11/2
Different Tone non-runner
Ragosina 2nd 13/2

Turf Balance: + 18 AW Balance: - 7
 
barjon said:
Tomorrow:

Oviedo 4:00 Redcar
Gallimous 5:55 Leicester
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Oviedo - Won 5/2 (from 4/1 overnight)
Gallimous - Won 11/8 (from 6/1 overnight)

Turf Balance: + 22 AW Balance: - 7

Tomorrow:

Churchella 5:05 Leicester
Shazam 5:40 Lingfield
 
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barjon said:
Oviedo - Won 5/2 (from 4/1 overnight)
Gallimous - Won 11/8 (from 6/1 overnight)

Turf Balance: + 22 AW Balance: - 7

Tomorrow:

Churchella 5:05 Leicester
Shazam 5:40 Lingfield
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Churchella 2nd 20/1 (beaten by yesterday’s winner Gallimimus - called Gallimous by me! - who must have been a hot-pot then)
Shazam Won 15/2 (was 14/1 overnight)

Turf Balance: + 28.5 AW Balance: - 7
 
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