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I honestly think if I knew to within a pound either way how much I could add to a rating, I could make serious money!

If someone could convince me of the accuracy of sectionals - I can't help thinking it is educagted guesswork - I could be tempted to get involved.

One of the things I find hard to get my head around is this idea of the percentages. Watching the Bislett games this evening reminded me of Kelly Holmes's gold medal performance in the Olympics.

To the naked eye it looked like she finished strongly to edge in front close home but the 'sectionals' - so crucial in athletics - told us she ran exactly even splits, therefore the leaders were weakening. That strikes me as saying the equivalent in horseracing would be final splits of 100% rather than the 104/105 quoted on here. Maybe I'm wrong about that.

Also, I remember reading an article in which Jack Ramsden (ex-trainer and, I think, sire of Emma Spencer) said if he knew a horse could run 2f in 22 seconds, he knew he could win certain races with it and trained it accordingly. So, maybe AOB knows the likes of Camelot can run 2f in less than 22s therefore it doesn't really matter where he's placed in a race.

I don't know.

<blockquote data-quote="Desert Orchid" data-source="post: 2394740" data-attributes="member: 65242">I honestly think if I knew to within a pound either way how much I could add to a rating, I could make serious money!&nbsp;If someone could convince me of the accuracy of sectionals - I can&#039;t help thinking it is educagted guesswork - I could be tempted to get involved.&nbsp;One of the things I find hard to get my head around is this idea of the percentages. Watching the Bislett games this evening reminded me of Kelly Holmes&#039;s gold medal performance in the Olympics.&nbsp;To the naked eye it looked like she finished strongly to edge in front close home but the &#039;sectionals&#039; - so crucial in athletics - told us she ran exactly even splits, therefore the leaders were weakening. That strikes me as saying the equivalent in horseracing would be final splits of 100% rather than the 104/105 quoted on here. Maybe I&#039;m wrong about that.&nbsp;Also, I remember reading an article in which Jack Ramsden (ex-trainer and, I think, sire of Emma Spencer) said if he knew a horse could run 2f in 22 seconds, he knew he could win certain races with it and trained it accordingly. So, maybe AOB knows the likes of Camelot can run 2f in less than 22s therefore it doesn&#039;t really matter where he&#039;s placed in a race.&nbsp;I don&#039;t know.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Desert Orchid, post: 2394740, member: 65242"] I honestly think if I knew to within a pound either way how much I could add to a rating, I could make serious money! If someone could convince me of the accuracy of sectionals - I can't help thinking it is educagted guesswork - I could be tempted to get involved. One of the things I find hard to get my head around is this idea of the percentages. Watching the Bislett games this evening reminded me of Kelly Holmes's gold medal performance in the Olympics. To the naked eye it looked like she finished strongly to edge in front close home but the 'sectionals' - so crucial in athletics - told us she ran exactly even splits, therefore the leaders were weakening. That strikes me as saying the equivalent in horseracing would be final splits of 100% rather than the 104/105 quoted on here. Maybe I'm wrong about that. Also, I remember reading an article in which Jack Ramsden (ex-trainer and, I think, sire of Emma Spencer) said if he knew a horse could run 2f in 22 seconds, he knew he could win certain races with it and trained it accordingly. So, maybe AOB knows the likes of Camelot can run 2f in less than 22s therefore it doesn't really matter where he's placed in a race. I don't know. [/QUOTE]

Verification: 5 + 3 = ?