Morning.
As autumn drifts in, we enter the period when the season's exertions can start having an effect on horses. Summer form can disappear as horses go 'over the top'. So we can never rely on form to stand up.
There are three which I've dared with today and I'll share, for anyone interested.
Tactical - 4.45 Doncaster 10/1 Ew
With only four runs this season, here's one that, only five runs ago, was rated 103 but has now slipped to a tempting 93. His last run, in a classy race at York, saw him put in some nice, unheralded, work late on to give notice that a return to form may be imminent. If that is so, he looks a solid bet in this. I'm not sure whether he'd be absolutely suited by absolutely soft ground but the forecast for Town Moor looks like being dry and bright so, by the time we raech this race, late on the card, we may be looking at G/Sft. If that were to be the case, it would give him ideal conditions. Worth a go, I think.
Peony - Sandown 5.00 4/1 Ew
Another one lightly-raced this term, she gave notice that there may be more to come last time out. Lovely late work gave the impression that taking on Coco Jamboo again should hold no fears. That race the last day was super fast and the form looks the line to be following here.
Barbaha Queen - 6.30 Ballinrobe 14/1 Ew
This is, probably, one for just me. When I looked at her in her last race I thought two things:
1) She hurdled just really well
2) She looked like a chaser through and through, which her breeding might suggest.
Well, here we are on his very next run and they pop her over the big 'uns. I feel duty bound, in the light of those two impressions to back her today.
Anyway, have a look and see what you think.
Good luck.
As autumn drifts in, we enter the period when the season's exertions can start having an effect on horses. Summer form can disappear as horses go 'over the top'. So we can never rely on form to stand up.
There are three which I've dared with today and I'll share, for anyone interested.
Tactical - 4.45 Doncaster 10/1 Ew
With only four runs this season, here's one that, only five runs ago, was rated 103 but has now slipped to a tempting 93. His last run, in a classy race at York, saw him put in some nice, unheralded, work late on to give notice that a return to form may be imminent. If that is so, he looks a solid bet in this. I'm not sure whether he'd be absolutely suited by absolutely soft ground but the forecast for Town Moor looks like being dry and bright so, by the time we raech this race, late on the card, we may be looking at G/Sft. If that were to be the case, it would give him ideal conditions. Worth a go, I think.
Peony - Sandown 5.00 4/1 Ew
Another one lightly-raced this term, she gave notice that there may be more to come last time out. Lovely late work gave the impression that taking on Coco Jamboo again should hold no fears. That race the last day was super fast and the form looks the line to be following here.
Barbaha Queen - 6.30 Ballinrobe 14/1 Ew
This is, probably, one for just me. When I looked at her in her last race I thought two things:
1) She hurdled just really well
2) She looked like a chaser through and through, which her breeding might suggest.
Well, here we are on his very next run and they pop her over the big 'uns. I feel duty bound, in the light of those two impressions to back her today.
Anyway, have a look and see what you think.
Good luck.
