As I look out of the window, we're back to 'As you were' with the rain gently pattering onto puddles outside. The last two days have been, thank heavens, beautifully sunny. At least I managed to get some summer planting done before normal service was resumed. It would've been good for it to continue onto today since we have people coming to put a new carpet in the bedroom.. I've taken a few minutes off from furniture moving to write this.
I will be having a bet today and it will involve the form of Apple Away: no surprise there.
In the 4.50 at Punchestown I see Instit is running. At Perth, last time out, over 3m she was soundly put in her place by Apple Away but I must say that, during the race, watching live, I was worried by how easily Instit was travelling as they ran down the far side for the last time. It was in the final half mile that AA asserted and won well. It's no secret that I hold AA in high regard over 3m so I'm thinking that Instit must have a decent chance here. Yes, we see Allegory De Vassy as just about favourite but there are a couple of things to consider here. Firstly, most of her best winning form (imo) has been achieved on ground soft or heavier. Even having said that, she gave today's possible joint favourite, Brides Hill, a good spanking on G/Y at Thurles in their novice days. Secondly, last April, however, she started odds on at Fairyhouse against Instit and was beaten. The RP analysis remarked:
So, we arrive at Punchestown and see that ADV is sharing favouritism with Brides Hill. The bookies obviously disagree with me but I'm not bowled over by BH's form and am much more inclined to take the Ew on Instit, which I consider to be the best value in the race.
Instit - 4.50 Punchestown 7/1 Ew
I like the look of the racing today but will still keep a watchful eye. I give the horses below merely to share my thoughts:
Manxman - 2.05 Goodwood - 11/4
Gisburn - 3.15 Goodwood 11/2
Kings Lynn - 3.50 Goodwood 4/1
Solomon Grey - Cheltenham 8.05 9/2
A tiny Win L15
Coup De Pinceau - Cheltenham 7.30 Ew
I will be having a bet today and it will involve the form of Apple Away: no surprise there.
In the 4.50 at Punchestown I see Instit is running. At Perth, last time out, over 3m she was soundly put in her place by Apple Away but I must say that, during the race, watching live, I was worried by how easily Instit was travelling as they ran down the far side for the last time. It was in the final half mile that AA asserted and won well. It's no secret that I hold AA in high regard over 3m so I'm thinking that Instit must have a decent chance here. Yes, we see Allegory De Vassy as just about favourite but there are a couple of things to consider here. Firstly, most of her best winning form (imo) has been achieved on ground soft or heavier. Even having said that, she gave today's possible joint favourite, Brides Hill, a good spanking on G/Y at Thurles in their novice days. Secondly, last April, however, she started odds on at Fairyhouse against Instit and was beaten. The RP analysis remarked:
So, we arrive at Punchestown and see that ADV is sharing favouritism with Brides Hill. The bookies obviously disagree with me but I'm not bowled over by BH's form and am much more inclined to take the Ew on Instit, which I consider to be the best value in the race.
Instit - 4.50 Punchestown 7/1 Ew
I like the look of the racing today but will still keep a watchful eye. I give the horses below merely to share my thoughts:
Manxman - 2.05 Goodwood - 11/4
Gisburn - 3.15 Goodwood 11/2
Kings Lynn - 3.50 Goodwood 4/1
Solomon Grey - Cheltenham 8.05 9/2
A tiny Win L15
Coup De Pinceau - Cheltenham 7.30 Ew
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