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Gareth

I understand your quest for exactness and strength of significance..but it is horse racing we are talking about which can defy any strength of signifance.

tbh if you look at any horse's form you could generally say...none of it is really significant..as the sample size is to small.

Even when a horse has 60/70 runs on the board..its current preferences can have changed...therefore we may as well give up trying to assess from form to give us a clue about a horse?

My way of looking at Kauto tells me that he is not quite as good LH as RH to a degree that satisfies me...your way is more exact but we could both be totally wrong..we both concur he seems bothered by Cheltenham...again we could be wrong...but it's about whether the figures mean anything in reality to the person creating them.

to make a deceision in this game you do have to make decisions based on small amount of data..if you don't belive that data then you may as well just not bother betting or back the fav every time...as you wouldn't be able to split horses at all

<blockquote data-quote="EC1" data-source="post: 2176031" data-attributes="member: 65360">Gareth&nbsp;I understand your quest for exactness and strength of significance..but it is horse racing we are talking about which can defy any strength of signifance.&nbsp;tbh if you look at any horse&#039;s form you could generally say...none of it is really significant..as the sample size is to small.&nbsp;Even when a horse has 60/70 runs on the board..its current preferences can have changed...therefore we may as well give up trying to assess from form to give us a clue about a horse?&nbsp;My way of looking at Kauto tells me that he is not quite as good LH as RH to a degree that satisfies me...your way is more exact but we could both be totally wrong..we both concur he seems bothered by Cheltenham...again we could be wrong...but it&#039;s about whether the figures mean anything in reality to the person creating them.&nbsp;to make a deceision in this game you do have to make decisions based on small amount of data..if you don&#039;t belive that data then you may as well just not bother betting or back the fav every time...as you wouldn&#039;t be able to split horses at all</blockquote>

[QUOTE="EC1, post: 2176031, member: 65360"] Gareth I understand your quest for exactness and strength of significance..but it is horse racing we are talking about which can defy any strength of signifance. tbh if you look at any horse's form you could generally say...none of it is really significant..as the sample size is to small. Even when a horse has 60/70 runs on the board..its current preferences can have changed...therefore we may as well give up trying to assess from form to give us a clue about a horse? My way of looking at Kauto tells me that he is not quite as good LH as RH to a degree that satisfies me...your way is more exact but we could both be totally wrong..we both concur he seems bothered by Cheltenham...again we could be wrong...but it's about whether the figures mean anything in reality to the person creating them. to make a deceision in this game you do have to make decisions based on small amount of data..if you don't belive that data then you may as well just not bother betting or back the fav every time...as you wouldn't be able to split horses at all [/QUOTE]

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