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Calling Warbler, re the competitiveness of the Hennessy this year:

Sorry for taking longer than I'd hoped to get back to you. These are my findings back to 2004.

The figures are as follows:-

The first figure is the number of runners with a rating (mine) on or better than the norm (my idea of the norm) for the race.

The second is the number of runners rated (by me) to have the potential to at least hit the norm.

The final figure is the number of runners.

2007 – 3 + 5 /18
2006 – 2 + 6 / 16
2005 – 4 + 3 / 24
2004 – 2 + 1 / 14

Clearly 2004 was a very weak affair but 2007 was, on the numbers, the most competitive renewal in that time. It speaks volumes for Denman's performance but it looks as though he's found maybe 12lbs on his previous rating. Snowy Morning would only have had to run to the same mark as in the RSA to have dead-heated with him.

(Stands back and prepares for the flak...)

However, it's clear Denman is even better than showed as he wasn't 100% and could well have gone on earlier so my rating for him of 183+ for Saturday suggests he will make sure Kauto Star (185+) knows he's been in a tough race when they finally do meet.

<blockquote data-quote="Desert Orchid" data-source="post: 2122474" data-attributes="member: 65242">Calling Warbler, re the competitiveness of the Hennessy this year:Sorry for taking longer than I&#039;d hoped to get back to you. These are my findings back to 2004.The figures are as follows:-The first figure is the number of runners with a rating (mine) on or better than the norm (my idea of the norm) for the race.The second is the number of runners rated (by me) to have the potential to at least hit the norm.The final figure is the number of runners.2007 – 3 + 5 /182006 – 2 + 6 / 162005 – 4 + 3 / 242004 – 2 + 1 / 14Clearly 2004 was a very weak affair but 2007 was, on the numbers, the most competitive renewal in that time. It speaks volumes for Denman&#039;s performance but it looks as though he&#039;s found maybe 12lbs on his previous rating. Snowy Morning would only have had to run to the same mark as in the RSA to have dead-heated with him.(Stands back and prepares for the flak...)However, it&#039;s clear Denman is even better than showed as he wasn&#039;t 100% and could well have gone on earlier so my rating for him of 183+ for Saturday suggests he will make sure Kauto Star (185+) knows he&#039;s been in a tough race when they finally do meet.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Desert Orchid, post: 2122474, member: 65242"] Calling Warbler, re the competitiveness of the Hennessy this year: Sorry for taking longer than I'd hoped to get back to you. These are my findings back to 2004. The figures are as follows:- The first figure is the number of runners with a rating (mine) on or better than the norm (my idea of the norm) for the race. The second is the number of runners rated (by me) to have the potential to at least hit the norm. The final figure is the number of runners. 2007 – 3 + 5 /18 2006 – 2 + 6 / 16 2005 – 4 + 3 / 24 2004 – 2 + 1 / 14 Clearly 2004 was a very weak affair but 2007 was, on the numbers, the most competitive renewal in that time. It speaks volumes for Denman's performance but it looks as though he's found maybe 12lbs on his previous rating. Snowy Morning would only have had to run to the same mark as in the RSA to have dead-heated with him. (Stands back and prepares for the flak...) However, it's clear Denman is even better than showed as he wasn't 100% and could well have gone on earlier so my rating for him of 183+ for Saturday suggests he will make sure Kauto Star (185+) knows he's been in a tough race when they finally do meet. [/QUOTE]

Verification: 5 + 3 = ?