Double Handful
At the Start
I've been looking at the meeting as a whole, and last year was the best ever for the Irish. First time ever they beat the English. 14 - 13.
Willie Mullins had 5 of those 14 Winners (Almost 1/3 ). His best ever return and a Phenomenal performance.
The festival last year was mostly on soft or good to soft ground, and with the low temperatures and frost in the build up, the ground was almost identical to Irish winter ground, I think it really suited the Irish horses last year.
So, I think it's almost impossible for the Irish to repeat that feat, especially on the ever drying ground. Which in turn, by the law of averages, suggests Mullins would do exceptionally well to match last years return of 5 winners...
I know this is not an exact science and the maths guru's could easily suggest that the team is stronger this year for Mullins. Possibly more favorites or a better mathematical chance this year ?!. But I'm also considering very short price favorites who were beaten last year like Boston Bob & Pont Alexandre. So overall I'm not sure the team is definitely stronger this year.
I'm predicting Mullins will only have 4 Winners.
So If you take the 3 shorties - Quevega, Annie Power & Briar Hill , that doesn't leave a whole lot of room for many more winners.....
I personally like Arctic Fire in the H'cap and Champagne Fever myself...
Just looking at it, there's going to be a lot of losing bets on Mullins horses.
Do People really think he can beat last years 5 winners? 6? 7?
I've decided to take a stance of caution on Mullins at this Festival.
Obviously Day 1 will tell us a lot .............
Willie Mullins had 5 of those 14 Winners (Almost 1/3 ). His best ever return and a Phenomenal performance.
The festival last year was mostly on soft or good to soft ground, and with the low temperatures and frost in the build up, the ground was almost identical to Irish winter ground, I think it really suited the Irish horses last year.
So, I think it's almost impossible for the Irish to repeat that feat, especially on the ever drying ground. Which in turn, by the law of averages, suggests Mullins would do exceptionally well to match last years return of 5 winners...
I know this is not an exact science and the maths guru's could easily suggest that the team is stronger this year for Mullins. Possibly more favorites or a better mathematical chance this year ?!. But I'm also considering very short price favorites who were beaten last year like Boston Bob & Pont Alexandre. So overall I'm not sure the team is definitely stronger this year.
I'm predicting Mullins will only have 4 Winners.
So If you take the 3 shorties - Quevega, Annie Power & Briar Hill , that doesn't leave a whole lot of room for many more winners.....
I personally like Arctic Fire in the H'cap and Champagne Fever myself...
Just looking at it, there's going to be a lot of losing bets on Mullins horses.
Do People really think he can beat last years 5 winners? 6? 7?
I've decided to take a stance of caution on Mullins at this Festival.
Obviously Day 1 will tell us a lot .............