Lingfield Review 26/1

stodge

At the Start
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May 2, 2003
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Sutton
A fine winter’s afternoon brought a good-sized crowd to East Surrey to enjoy a seven-race card far removed from the blandishments of Prestbury.

The opener was a maiden for 3-y-o and upward over a mile. OBERLIN, from the Mark Johnston yard, was backed down to tips on but his form didn’t read like the typical progressive Johnston 3-y-o and so it proved as the race went to the only 4-y-o GARDEN PARTY, who easily saw off his younger rivals having been up with the pace the whole way.

OBERLIN frankly had every chance. He got a great run up the rail and came to win the race but just couldn’t quicken. He’s on a mark of 72 but GARDEN PARTY is running off a mark of 65 so that probably tells you all you need to know. Of more interest was the run of WHERRY who shaped well until tiring in the final furlong. She ran a creditable third and looks one for the notebook. HAMALKA was also disappointing.

Race two was a handicap over six furlongs. BENLLECH was supported from 9/4 to 15/8 and won fairly comfortably. KEMPSEY had set the early pace and the time was quite decent but BENLLECH was always travelling well and picked up the lead in the final furlong. MUKTASB has won his last three including over CD and had gone up 16 lbs so it’s probably fair to say the handicapper has him for now.

Race three was a handicap for older horses over seven furlongs. I expected SUPER FRANK to blitz from the stall and try to make all but that didn’t happen as he missed the start. A number had chances turning for home including LANDUCCI and BAZROY but as SUPER FRANK tried to get into the race it was SAILOR KING who kept on best to score for the Ivory yard. Although the time was reasonable, this was a messy race and I’m not quite sure how the form will work out.

Race four was a handicap for older horses over a mile. CONFIDENTIALITY had looked unlucky at Wolverhampton yesterday but was still racing off 82, having started her winning sequence off a mark of 48. BERTIE SOUTHSTREET set the pace and one of the first beaten was favourite APACHE DAWN, who was very disappointing. Turning for home, none looked to be going better than CONFIDENTIALITY and as she switched to the rail, she looked sure to win but whether it was a combination of a second race in twenty four hours or a higher handicap mark, she flattened out and this allowed HIGHLAND HARVEST to quicken on and score from the fast-finishing NINTH HOUSE who is probably worth another try at ten furlongs. The winner is a CD performer but hadn’t looked in much form before his three-month layoff so a fine piece of training by David Elsworth. Connections of CONFIDENTIALITY can have little cause for complaint but perhaps she needs a rest now.

Race five was the afternoon’s feature; a Class 2 handicap over ten furlongs. An open market saw support for ALPES MARITIMES down to 9/4. The race was run at a generous pace and was hotly contested throughout. TARTAN TIE raced with the pace but was beaten on the home turn while a number still had every chance including LISATHEDADDY and SPEEDY SAM but in behind the pace both ALPES MARITIMES and SILVER PIVOTAL were waiting to pounce and it was the latter who showed a smart turn of foot in the final furlong to win a shade cosily. SGT SCHULTZ ran on late for third, which was a fine effort for a horse better known for his exploits at a mile and a half.

SPEEDY SAM and LISATHEDADDY followed the first three home acquitting themselves well. ALPES MARITIMES made the jump from Class 4 but couldn’t make the most of the weight concession from SILVER PIVOTAL. Nonetheless, he ran well and will win again though he’s not in the same class as the winner who put up a sparkling performance. SILVER PIVOTAL was having only his fifth race so there could be more improvement to come. As a 3-y-o, he won a Listed race at York’s May meeting and was beaten by Italian Girl at Ascot’s May meeting. He ran off 98 today and will doubtless be pushed up to 103+ so he enters the Winter Derby picture. It will be fascinating to see if connections being him back here for the Derby Trial race in four weeks time.

Race six was a handicap over a mile and a quarter. This race was run no less than four and a half seconds slower than the preceding event and became a sprint in the straight. MEDITATION and STARK CONTRAST led the field into the straight but could not hold off the market leaders. MR NAPOLEON had been backed from 5/4 to 11/10 but was well beaten by SRI KUANTAN who quickened impressively clear in the final furlong. He looks a fast-improving colt who can win again and I suspect another couple of furlongs won’t be a disadvantage.

Race seven was a maiden for older horses over a mile and a half. Although ostensibly a race for Flat maidens, it went to the Bumper winner OUTLANDISH, who made every yard and had too much speed and stamina for some pretty moderate opponents. APHRODISIA and FLIGHT DREAM were well held but MONDIAL JACK, probably best known as a chaser, ran on nicely for fourth. The winner was disappointing on his hurdles debut but may do better on a faster turf surface.
 
Bazroy goes again at Kempton this afternoon. Owned by two friends, Barry and Roy! :) I am hoping to go to Kempton this afternoon. I have thoroughly enjoyed going to this track and I am going again tomorrrow to support Star Strider and Mr. Lambros. The owner also has Cow Girl running at Wolverhampton tomorrow, so with Gay Kelleway in such great form at the moment, it would be great if the owner has a nice treble up!
 
Not sure that Wherry was tired, I thought she was closing again at the finish after getting outpaced and can have more still to offer when stepped up to 10f. Silver Pivotal does indeed look a class above a handicapper. Butler was talking Breeders Cup at one stage for HER last year and the form of her listed win at York had been well and truly franked by the runner-up and to a lesser extent the third. Eye catcher of that race again was Cold Turkey, he's handicapped to win and will probably do so when stepped back up to 12f+.
 
Thanks Stodge,
I've only recently become interested in the All weather racing because I am in a betting syndicate and I have found it surprisingly easier to make a profit on the All weather than on jump racing (I ended last year with 14 wininng weeks out of 17).
Super Frank was my only bet yesterday and I had managed to get 15/8 with Betfred in the morning and I was gutted when his race was over after missing the start.
I was at Cheltenham but went into the bookies to watch Super Frank's race and to watch the 2.50. I didn't have a bet but I was interested in watching Mafeking as he has been admirably consistent and seemed to be improving with each run - I expected him to start about 5/1 but he was available at around 11/1 and he finished tailed off. This was a consistent horse but from his price it would seem that everybody knew he had no chance of getting placed in this race. I am a novice learning about the All Weather game but can you explain to me what I am missing about Mafeking that everybody else obviously knew.

Having had a trememndous betting run on the All Weather (only betting on weekends) I have now had two consecutive bad weeks with Bonus (backed at 11/2) finishing 3rd last week when I thought Hayley Turner rode a bad race when she took a pull early on and ended up in a hopeless position in the rear that she could never win from. However, I thought she rode a superb race on Silver Pivtoal yesterday.
Our betting syndicate is only a fun syndicate betting small stakes but I am still learning about the AW so any knowledge or advice greatly received.
 
I've been doing better on the a/w too recently Ian

I always look at track form for the horse - the tracks are quite different and horses tend to have form over one in particular, esp Southwell. Jockeys tend to be the same. I find jockeys very important in general on the a/w - some of them excel on it eg George Baker and Neil Callan; Kirsty M and Paul Doe are esp good at Kempton, James Doyle and Eddie Ahern at Lingers, and Joe Fanning and Callan at Wolves etc - there are others
 
Originally posted by Kathy@Jan 27 2008, 09:37 AM
Bazroy goes again at Kempton this afternoon. Owned by two friends, Barry and Roy! :) I am hoping to go to Kempton this afternoon.
Bazroy made my visit to Kempton worthwhile! :D
 
Well done to them! hope you all had a good time. I meant to back him but forgot :(
Too much going on today...


Ian: a few other things to remember:

Stalls position is pretty important esp at Wolves and Southwell.
Middle stalls tend to do best at Lingers, stalls 1 & 2 only if the horse is a front runner, as it's easy to get squeezed up on the bends after the hill.

At Southwell, it pays to stick with front runners esp if drawn c2-6
They can then get a position and avoid the sand in their eyes - kickback there is awful
It's a track which suits horses who are soft-ground front runners on turf

It takes a good horse to come wide at any of the 3 tracks, but it can be done, tho rarely from the outside draw. I tend to avoid anything at the extremes of the stalls unless it's a monster, esp from the outside stalls.

This site http://www.flatstats.co.uk/ is very useful if you want to get into the a/w seriously.
 
Thanks for that Headstrong - I'd cottoned onto some of that but not all
at Lingers, stalls 1 & 2 only if the horse is a front runner

I was hoping Super Frank was going to live upto that rule yesterday
 
One thing that was written in The Racing Post today which I thought was interesting is how many trainers that can run up a quick sequence on the allweather during the winter. Two I know of personally are Gay Kelleway with Mr. Lambros (3 in a row) and Brendan Powell with Contra Mundum has achieved the same and they are both running again this week. Why do other trainers not seek to do the same? Not so many horses running at this time of the year, and I am sure the owners (if they are lucky enough to have a horse good enough) would be thrilled. I asked Brendan today if we could run up a quick sequence with Bay Hawk on the allweather, and he said "but I thought you meant a horse that would be able to win 3 on the bounce"! :what:
 
I guess because most owners would rather their horses racing in the summer! - so they are resting now, or only just in.

The ones running in the winter tend to be either horses which don't act at all on turf, or ones which have had a problem like my Freddie a couple of years back - he didn't race till the winter as he turned 3 - or very backward types. The ones running up sequences now are in the main out and out a/w specialists, making hay while fields are small.

Ian:
I just looked up Mafeking, could it be he was running under a double penalty? He's prob gone up so far in the weights he can't win off his current mark, and the market reflected that. So he has to have the odd spin and lose to get his weight back down. Having said that, there are trainers who specialise in the a/w and are to be treated with caution - not Hoad so far as I know btw. A few trainers are so 'unpredictable' I treat their horses and races in which they are fancied with great caution.
 
Absolutely true, HS about most people preferring to run their horses in the summer, BUT if owners are looking for a horse that can win a few races, and a win is a win, and the horse goes on the AW - the winter is possibly the time to do it. Gay Kelleway is in sparkling form at the moment and she is doing this with only about 25 horses in her yard. It's good for her yard, the owners and her strike rate.

I just think if some trainers need to get a few wins under their belt and with so much a/w racing around, the winter is clearly the time to give it a go if they have the right horses to do it with. Also not so much fighting about jockeys either and this winter a/w season has certainly put some of the lady jockeys names back in the frame.
 
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