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Right you've pretty well answered it Rory, in so far as you've called it how I see it.

My attempts to specifically identify the point where he hits the wall is of course dependent on the pace, as it assumes a true run race (and conveniently allows me a degree of flexibility ). Off a moderate pace though, I can see him winning. Off a fast pace I think he'll get mugged having travelled well throughout. Off a muddling pace, God knows shrug:: It's only when we see him over 2 miles that I'll either have to conceed, or claim the bragging rights, but in the meantime I can at least lay claim to VPU being best suited by the extra 4F's+. As I'm sure I've said, I've thought Alan Kings had them the wrong way round all season

The one explanation I can't really dispute in honesty is the 'undetected injury/ hurting'. Other theories have been offered up, and this one strikes me as being the most plausible alternative

<blockquote data-quote="Warbler" data-source="post: 2141228" data-attributes="member: 65228"><img src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f600.png" class="smilie smilie--emoji" loading="lazy" width="64" height="64" alt=":D" title="Big grin&nbsp; &nbsp; :D"&nbsp; data-smilie="8"data-shortname=":D" />&nbsp; Right you&#039;ve pretty well answered it Rory, in so far as you&#039;ve called it how I see it.My attempts to specifically identify the point where he hits the wall is of course dependent on the pace, as it assumes a true run race (and conveniently allows me a degree of flexibility <img src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f61b.png" class="smilie smilie--emoji" loading="lazy" width="64" height="64" alt=":P" title="Stick out tongue&nbsp; &nbsp; :P"&nbsp; data-smilie="7"data-shortname=":P" /> ). Off a moderate pace though, I can see him winning. Off a fast pace I think he&#039;ll get mugged having travelled well throughout. Off a muddling pace, God knows shrug::&nbsp; It&#039;s only when we see him over 2 miles that I&#039;ll either have to conceed, or claim the bragging rights, but in the meantime I can at least lay claim to VPU being best suited by the extra 4F&#039;s+. As I&#039;m sure I&#039;ve said, I&#039;ve thought Alan Kings had them the wrong way round all seasonThe one explanation I can&#039;t really dispute in honesty is the &#039;undetected injury/ hurting&#039;. Other theories have been offered up, and this one strikes me as being the most plausible alternative</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Warbler, post: 2141228, member: 65228"] :D Right you've pretty well answered it Rory, in so far as you've called it how I see it. My attempts to specifically identify the point where he hits the wall is of course dependent on the pace, as it assumes a true run race (and conveniently allows me a degree of flexibility :P ). Off a moderate pace though, I can see him winning. Off a fast pace I think he'll get mugged having travelled well throughout. Off a muddling pace, God knows shrug:: It's only when we see him over 2 miles that I'll either have to conceed, or claim the bragging rights, but in the meantime I can at least lay claim to VPU being best suited by the extra 4F's+. As I'm sure I've said, I've thought Alan Kings had them the wrong way round all season The one explanation I can't really dispute in honesty is the 'undetected injury/ hurting'. Other theories have been offered up, and this one strikes me as being the most plausible alternative [/QUOTE]

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