davewatts50
Amateur Rider
I wrote this before Corundum went NR it also was a tracker horse.
I now have 3 horses in my tracker for this race. I’m quite surprised that Magic Runner is such a big price. I think it’s a combination of a poor draw, finished 3rd LTO and the claiming jockey is back onboard. If you watch the LTO race she didn’t have a clear run when she needed it and she got worried out of it but still finished a close 3rd and that was from draw 8 out of 9.
I personally think the claimer weight allowance will help her and at 12/1 she worth an EW in a tricky race. (Obviously with the favourite going NR the market has seriously readjusted. That said there has been support as now it’s into 5/I
Stipulation looks a worthy favourite but needs something to aim at. He’s got a decent finishing speed and might turn around the result with Magic Runner. I certainly wouldn’t right off Magic Runner.
I’ve had an E/W at 12/1 early this morning on Magic Runner
STIPULATION My Rating 73 OR 65
Is an Improving 5 year old gelding who’s Course & distance winner. On my ratings I believe he’s ahead of his official handicap.
LTO was at Wolverhampton 17 days ago in a Class 6 over 9 furlongs, finishing 3/9 and beaten by 1.30 lengths by MAGIC RUNNER who re opposes tomorrow. He will be running in the same class and distance but on slightly better terms. Highest winning mark of 61 and is 65 today.
Drawn in 3 should be able to get a decent position.
The trainer jockey combination is 1 win from 13 at the course in the past 2 years. The trainer has had many winners at Wolves and his win rate is 11%. He’s had 2 from 16 races in the past 14 days so the stable are in form.
Vs.par -0.90 Time Index 6.5 Average 5.1 FSP% 102.49
MAGIC RUNNER My Rating 66 OR 61
Is an inform 4 year old filly who’s Course & distance winner. On my ratings I believe she ahead of her official handicap and she has Taryn Langley taking another 5lbs off with her claim. She won on the filly 16/1/26.
LTO was at Wolverhampton 10 days ago
in a Class 6 over 9 furlongs, where she finished 3rd by 0.6 lengths. She was ridden by James Sullivan on that occasion.
She will be running in the same class and distance and re opposing STIPULATION but on slightly worse terms. Her Highest winning mark is 59 and is 61 today. Stipulation was finishing stronger and could well reverse the placing. I think 11/1 or higher offers some EW value.
The negative is she is drawn wide and might find it difficult to get a decent position.
Vs.par -0.90 Time Index 6.5 Average 5.1 FSP% 101.77
The trainer jockey combination is 1 win from 2 at the course in the past 2 years. The trainer is 18 from 149 (12%) at the course in the past 2 years. The trainer has had 2 from 11 (18%) in the past 14 days so the stables in form.
I now have 3 horses in my tracker for this race. I’m quite surprised that Magic Runner is such a big price. I think it’s a combination of a poor draw, finished 3rd LTO and the claiming jockey is back onboard. If you watch the LTO race she didn’t have a clear run when she needed it and she got worried out of it but still finished a close 3rd and that was from draw 8 out of 9.
I personally think the claimer weight allowance will help her and at 12/1 she worth an EW in a tricky race. (Obviously with the favourite going NR the market has seriously readjusted. That said there has been support as now it’s into 5/I
Stipulation looks a worthy favourite but needs something to aim at. He’s got a decent finishing speed and might turn around the result with Magic Runner. I certainly wouldn’t right off Magic Runner.
I’ve had an E/W at 12/1 early this morning on Magic Runner
STIPULATION My Rating 73 OR 65
Is an Improving 5 year old gelding who’s Course & distance winner. On my ratings I believe he’s ahead of his official handicap.
LTO was at Wolverhampton 17 days ago in a Class 6 over 9 furlongs, finishing 3/9 and beaten by 1.30 lengths by MAGIC RUNNER who re opposes tomorrow. He will be running in the same class and distance but on slightly better terms. Highest winning mark of 61 and is 65 today.
Drawn in 3 should be able to get a decent position.
The trainer jockey combination is 1 win from 13 at the course in the past 2 years. The trainer has had many winners at Wolves and his win rate is 11%. He’s had 2 from 16 races in the past 14 days so the stable are in form.
Vs.par -0.90 Time Index 6.5 Average 5.1 FSP% 102.49
MAGIC RUNNER My Rating 66 OR 61
Is an inform 4 year old filly who’s Course & distance winner. On my ratings I believe she ahead of her official handicap and she has Taryn Langley taking another 5lbs off with her claim. She won on the filly 16/1/26.
LTO was at Wolverhampton 10 days ago
in a Class 6 over 9 furlongs, where she finished 3rd by 0.6 lengths. She was ridden by James Sullivan on that occasion.
She will be running in the same class and distance and re opposing STIPULATION but on slightly worse terms. Her Highest winning mark is 59 and is 61 today. Stipulation was finishing stronger and could well reverse the placing. I think 11/1 or higher offers some EW value.
The negative is she is drawn wide and might find it difficult to get a decent position.
Vs.par -0.90 Time Index 6.5 Average 5.1 FSP% 101.77
The trainer jockey combination is 1 win from 2 at the course in the past 2 years. The trainer is 18 from 149 (12%) at the course in the past 2 years. The trainer has had 2 from 11 (18%) in the past 14 days so the stables in form.
