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You'd lose. No winner has run less than 3 times in a season since Minnehoma. The average number of runs since then is 5.5 per season.

I only have sparse data for three of the past 4 years handy re top weights as follows (average runs for the top 5 in the weights)

2015 3.6
2013 2.2
2012 3.4

Looking at the names of the horses in question - they have generally been Gd2/3 type horses, with the odd Gd1 type thrown in (Synchronised/Imperial Commander)

The lack of runs would point me in the direction of believing that the GN is the main target for most of these horses, and despite Phil Smiths best efforts, none of them have won till now.

[QUOTE="simmo, post: 2520064, member: 65084"] You'd lose. No winner has run less than 3 times in a season since Minnehoma. The average number of runs since then is 5.5 per season. I only have sparse data for three of the past 4 years handy re top weights as follows (average runs for the top 5 in the weights) 2015 3.6 2013 2.2 2012 3.4 Looking at the names of the horses in question - they have generally been Gd2/3 type horses, with the odd Gd1 type thrown in (Synchronised/Imperial Commander) The lack of runs would point me in the direction of believing that the GN is the main target for most of these horses, and despite Phil Smiths best efforts, none of them have won till now. [/QUOTE]

Verification: 5 + 3 = ?