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Taking the thread of track a little

Re the flat race handicaps.. I've got two years of RSB data..so ran handicaps through it..total races 3760

In all flat race handicaps ..not amateur or apprentice...these were the results

>7.08 = 3.06%
7.08-8.00 = 5.54%
8.01-8.07 = 7.29%
8.08-9.00 = 8.34%
9.01-9.07 = 10.45%
9.08-10.0 = 11.42%
10.01-10.07 = 17.7%

a comparison of extreme in distance

5f
>7.08 = 4.69%
7.08-8.00 = 4.32%
8.01-8.07 = 6.78%
8.08-9.00 = 9.08%
9.01-9.07 = 11.31%
9.08-10.0 = 12.47%
10.01-10.07 = 14.29%

14.5f+
>7.08 = 3.48%
7.08-8.00 = 7.39%
8.01-8.07 = 9.02%
8.08-9.00 = 8.88%
9.01-9.07 = 10.69%
9.08-10.0 = 12.19%
10.01-10.07 = 16.67%

The picture that paints is that handicap upper weight isn't having enough effect of making handicaps a level playing field..it favours upper weights

It also shows that on the flat..carrying weight over further doesn't stop upper weights winning to a similar degree they do at shorter..which is also more than their fair share

<blockquote data-quote="EC1" data-source="post: 2520085" data-attributes="member: 65360">Taking the thread of track a littleRe the flat race handicaps.. I&#039;ve got two years of RSB data..so ran handicaps through it..total races 3760In all flat race handicaps ..not amateur or apprentice...these were the results&gt;7.08 = 3.06%7.08-8.00 = 5.54%8.01-8.07 = 7.29%8.08-9.00 = 8.34%9.01-9.07 = 10.45%9.08-10.0 = 11.42%10.01-10.07 = 17.7%a comparison of extreme in distance5f&gt;7.08 = 4.69%7.08-8.00 = 4.32%8.01-8.07 = 6.78%8.08-9.00 = 9.08%9.01-9.07 = 11.31%9.08-10.0 = 12.47%10.01-10.07 = 14.29%14.5f+&gt;7.08 = 3.48%7.08-8.00 = 7.39%8.01-8.07 = 9.02%8.08-9.00 = 8.88%9.01-9.07 = 10.69%9.08-10.0 = 12.19%10.01-10.07 = 16.67%The picture that paints is that handicap upper weight isn&#039;t having enough effect of making handicaps a level playing field..it favours upper weightsIt also shows that on the flat..carrying weight over further doesn&#039;t stop upper weights winning to a similar degree they do at shorter..which is also more than their fair share</blockquote>

[QUOTE="EC1, post: 2520085, member: 65360"] Taking the thread of track a little Re the flat race handicaps.. I've got two years of RSB data..so ran handicaps through it..total races 3760 In all flat race handicaps ..not amateur or apprentice...these were the results >7.08 = 3.06% 7.08-8.00 = 5.54% 8.01-8.07 = 7.29% 8.08-9.00 = 8.34% 9.01-9.07 = 10.45% 9.08-10.0 = 11.42% 10.01-10.07 = 17.7% a comparison of extreme in distance [B]5f[/B] >7.08 = 4.69% 7.08-8.00 = 4.32% 8.01-8.07 = 6.78% 8.08-9.00 = 9.08% 9.01-9.07 = 11.31% 9.08-10.0 = 12.47% 10.01-10.07 = 14.29% [B]14.5f+[/B] >7.08 = 3.48% 7.08-8.00 = 7.39% 8.01-8.07 = 9.02% 8.08-9.00 = 8.88% 9.01-9.07 = 10.69% 9.08-10.0 = 12.19% 10.01-10.07 = 16.67% The picture that paints is that handicap upper weight isn't having enough effect of making handicaps a level playing field..it favours upper weights It also shows that on the flat..carrying weight over further doesn't stop upper weights winning to a similar degree they do at shorter..which is also more than their fair share [/QUOTE]

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