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Professional Punter Shane Reville

Simon Nott

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Joined
Aug 7, 2009
Messages
945
Location
Tiverton, Devon.
I caught up with Shane as we embark on a new flat turf season, he's ditched the jumps to concentrate on flat racing encompassing Hong Kong too.

 
I enjoyed that and I was especially interested in his views on Hong Kong as I’ve been looking at their races myself recently, but from what I’ve seen he’s right about prices getting hit big time in the last minutes before the off.


When he mentioned overseas challengers it brought to mind how I’ve looked at if class horses running in pattern races in GB/IRE are heading over to compete in pattern races in Hong Kong and vice versa.
I did that by cross referencing the runners in about 600 GB/IRE flat pattern races against the runners in the 35 pattern races I found in Hong Kong.
A few interesting nuggets being
Runners coming from Hong Kong seem to have better success than runners going from GB/IRE to Hong Kong, plus it’s much more GB rather than IRE races they target.
There is a pair of races where success seems to flow both ways, the Epsom Coronation Cup Flat Stakes 1m 4f 6y Group1 in May and the Sha Tin Hong Kong Vase Flat Stakes 1m 4f Group1 in Dec.
Over the last 25 years or so you’ve had 21 runners go from Hong Kong Vase to the following Coronation Cup and 3 have won and 6 have placed. The last horse to win was in 2017.
And during that time you’ve had 22 runners go from Coronation Cup to the following Hong Kong Vase and 4 have won and 7 have placed. The last horse to win was in 2017.

Plus, I was interested in the comment made about backers in Hong Kong not being as interested in trainer form, I produce my own trainer kpi’s such as PRB2, I think I’ll have a look and see how their statistical strength compare in Hong Kong vs GB/IRE
 


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